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Süper Lig
Referee: Suat Arslanboga
Hatayspor
U S T U S
1–2
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,7
This season — Süper Lig · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 58%
48%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
52%
71%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
18 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 7. · Fenerbahce 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 21 14 3 4 +20 45
2 Besiktas 21 14 2 5 +23 44
3 Galatasaray 21 13 3 5 +25 42
4 Alanyaspor 21 11 4 6 +16 37
5 Trabzonspor 21 10 6 5 +3 36
6 Gaziantep 21 9 8 4 +9 35
7 Hatayspor 21 10 5 6 +8 35
8 Karagumruk 21 8 7 6 +4 31
9 Antalyaspor 21 7 8 6 -5 29
10 Yeni Malatyaspor 21 7 7 7 +1 28
11 Goztep 21 6 7 8 +4 25
12 Kasimpasa 21 7 4 10 -8 25
13 Rizespor 21 6 7 8 -9 25
14 Sivasspor 21 5 9 7 -6 24
15 Buyuksehyr 21 6 6 9 -10 24
16 Konyaspor 20 6 5 9 +0 23
17 Kayserispor 21 6 4 11 -11 22
18 Erzurumspor 21 5 5 11 -15 20
19 Genclerbirligi 21 5 4 12 -21 19
20 Ankaragücü 21 5 3 13 -10 18
21 Denizlispor 21 4 5 12 -18 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,77
U
3,66
B ✓
1,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Suat Arslanboga · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.