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Premier League

Referee: C Pawson

Wolves

U T T U T

2–1

Full-time

Arsenal

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Arsenal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,7

0,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,7

This season — Premier League · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 36%

29%

43%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

43%

52%

Both score Ø 43%

48%

38%

Average goals

2,4

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%

11 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Wolves 14. · Arsenal 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	20	13	5	2	+24	44
2	Man United	21	12	5	4	+10	41
3	Liverpool	21	11	7	3	+19	40
4	Leicester	21	12	3	6	+12	39
5	West Ham	21	10	5	6	+4	35
6	Tottenham	20	9	6	5	+13	33
7	Chelsea	21	9	6	6	+12	33
8	Everton	19	10	3	6	+5	33
9	Aston Villa	19	10	2	7	+13	32
10	Arsenal	21	9	4	8	+6	31
11	Southampton	20	8	5	7	+2	29
12	Leeds	20	9	2	9	-1	29
13	Crystal Palace	21	7	5	9	-11	26
14	Wolves	21	6	5	10	-9	23
15	Newcastle	21	6	4	11	-13	22
16	Burnley	20	6	4	10	-13	22
17	Brighton	21	4	9	8	-6	21
18	Fulham	20	2	8	10	-12	14
19	West Brom	21	2	6	13	-33	12
20	Sheffield United	21	2	2	17	-22	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	11	8	2	1	+15	26
2	Liverpool	10	7	2	1	+12	23
3	Chelsea	11	5	4	2	+10	19
4	West Ham	11	5	3	3	+2	18
5	Southampton	11	5	1	5	+2	16
6	Leicester	11	5	1	5	+1	16
7	Tottenham	10	4	3	3	+3	15
8	Arsenal	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	Crystal Palace	11	4	3	4	-4	15
10	Everton	10	4	2	4	+1	14
11	Man United	10	4	2	4	-2	14
12	Aston Villa	8	4	1	3	+6	13
13	Burnley	9	4	1	4	-2	13
14	Wolves	10	3	3	4	-1	12
15	Leeds	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	Newcastle	10	3	2	5	-6	11
17	Brighton	11	1	6	4	-4	9
18	Fulham	10	1	3	6	-8	6
19	West Brom	11	1	3	7	-24	6
20	Sheffield United	10	1	1	8	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	11	8	3	0	+12	27
2	Leicester	10	7	2	1	+11	23
3	Aston Villa	11	6	1	4	+7	19
4	Everton	9	6	1	2	+4	19
5	Tottenham	10	5	3	2	+10	18
6	Man City	9	5	3	1	+9	18
7	Leeds	11	6	0	5	+0	18
8	Liverpool	11	4	5	2	+7	17
9	West Ham	10	5	2	3	+2	17
10	Arsenal	10	5	1	4	+5	16
11	Chelsea	10	4	2	4	+2	14
12	Southampton	9	3	4	2	+0	13
13	Brighton	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	Crystal Palace	10	3	2	5	-7	11
15	Newcastle	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Wolves	11	3	2	6	-8	11
17	Burnley	11	2	3	6	-11	9
18	Fulham	10	1	5	4	-4	8
19	West Brom	10	1	3	6	-9	6
20	Sheffield United	11	1	1	9	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.