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Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Costa
Maritimo
S T S S S
0–1
Full-time
Gil Vicente
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Gil Vicente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,2
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 32%
33%
30%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
43%
Both score Ø 45%
43%
47%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
9 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 24
7 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Maritimo 12. · Gil Vicente 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 30 23 7 0 +39 76
2 Porto 30 21 7 2 +34 70
3 Benfica 30 20 6 4 +37 66
4 Sp Braga 30 18 4 8 +19 58
5 Pacos Ferreira 30 14 6 10 +0 48
6 Guimaraes 30 12 5 13 -4 41
7 Santa Clara 30 10 7 13 +2 37
8 Moreirense 30 8 12 10 -9 36
9 Tondela 30 10 5 15 -17 35
10 Portimonense 30 9 7 14 -4 34
11 Belenenses 30 7 13 10 -7 34
12 Maritimo 30 10 3 17 -15 33
13 Gil Vicente 30 9 5 16 -11 32
14 Famalicao 30 7 10 13 -10 31
15 Rio Ave 30 6 13 11 -10 31
16 Boavista 30 6 11 13 -11 29
17 Farense 30 6 9 15 -10 27
18 Nacional 30 6 6 18 -23 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Maritimo Gil Vicente
Jean 🟨
-5′
Pedro Pelágio 🟨
27′
32′
Samuel Lino 0–1
Vitor Carvalho
33′
ℹ️ Samuel Lino
VAR: Goal cancelled
Cláudio Winck 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
J. Correa 🔁
↦ Pedro Pelágio
46′
Marcelo Hermes 🔁
↦ Fábio China
46′
Rafik Guitane 🟨
55′
62′
🔁 Y. Baraye
↦ A. Léautey
Milson 🔁
↦ A. Alipour
66′
T. Söderström 🔁
↦ Cláudio Winck
66′
Renê Santos 🟨
68′
F. Bambock 🔁
↦ Renê
71′
82′
🔁 Ygor Nogueira
↦ Samuel Lino
83′
🟨 Yves Baraye
86′
🟨 Vítor Carvalho
88′
🟨 Denis
Edgar Costa 🟨
90′
Léo 🟨
90′
93′
🔁 K. Fujimoto
↦ Lucas Mineiro
93′
🔁 Claude Gonçalves
↦ Pedrinho
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Maritimo

4-3-3
1 A. Abedzadeh G
5 Zainadine Júnior D
2 Cláudio Winck D
25 Renê M
45 Fábio China D
66 Léo Andrade D
60 Pedro Pelágio M
12 Edgar Costa F
95 J. Tagueu F
70 A. Alipour F
7 R. Guitane M
Bench (9)
8 J. Correa
86 Marcelo Hermes
17 Milson
27 T. Söderström
18 F. Bambock
23 Rúben Macedo
94 Charles
46 A. Karo
6 Jean

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Gil Vicente

4-4-2
1 Denis G
26 Rúben Fernandes D
31 Talocha D
5 Rodrigão D
2 Joel Pereira D
19 Pedrinho M
11 A. Léautey M
25 Lucas Mineiro F
21 Vitor Carvalho M
7 Lourency M
29 Samuel Lino F
Bench (9)
22 Y. Baraye
44 Ygor Nogueira
20 K. Fujimoto
8 Claude Gonçalves
77 Paulinho
55 Henrique Gomes
12 Brian Araújo
4 Diogo Silva
9 Miullen

Coach: Ricardo Soares

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,60
U
2,96
B ✓
2,95
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,64
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rui Costa · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.