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Super League
Referee: I Peljto
AEK
S S S U T
1–2
Full-time
PAOK
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,7
1,5
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Super League · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 50%
51%
49%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
49%
54%
Both score Ø 53%
54%
51%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 3. · PAOK 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 37 28 7 2 +61 91
2 PAOK 35 17 11 7 +25 62
3 AEK 35 18 7 10 +9 61
4 Aris Thessalonikis 33 17 8 8 +17 59
5 Aris 33 17 8 8 +17 59
6 Panathinaikos 36 15 10 11 +10 55
7 Asteras Tripolis 37 12 14 11 -5 50
8 Volos NFC 33 9 13 11 -7 40
9 Giannina 33 9 10 14 -5 37
10 Lamia 33 8 11 14 -20 35
11 Atromitos 33 6 14 13 -16 32
12 Apollon 33 8 7 18 -14 31
13 OFI Crete 33 7 7 19 -23 28
14 Panetolikos 33 6 10 17 -23 28
15 Larisa 33 5 9 19 -26 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Mar -21 PAOK – AEK 3–1 24. Jan -21 PAOK – AEK 2–2 18. Oct -20 AEK – PAOK 1–1 15. Jul -20 AEK – PAOK 0–0 1. Jul -20 PAOK – AEK 0–2

Match report

AEK PAOK
Evgen Shakhov 🟨
26′
43′
🟨 Andrija Živković
Konstantinos Galanopoulos 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Douglas Augusto
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 T. Tsiggaras
↦ Douglas
46′
🔁 Amr Warda
↦ T. Murg
47′
⚽ M. Krmenčík 0–1
Amr Warda
Hélder Lopes 🟨
50′
50′
⚽ S. Schwab 0–2
D. Szymański 🔁
↦ K. Galanopoulos
58′
S. Vasilantonopoulos 🔁
↦ O. Danchenko
58′
M. Tankovic 🔁
↦ I. Nedelcearu
58′
66′
🟨 Stefan Schwab
73′
🔁 K. Świderski
↦ M. Krmenčík
M. Kosidis 🔁
↦ Y. Shakhov
81′
85′
🔁 C. Tzolis
↦ A. Živković
Muamer Tanković 🟨
86′
90′
🟨 Theocharis Tsingaras
1–2 M. Tankovic ⚽
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

AEK

3-5-2
30 G. Athanasiadis G
19 D. Chygrynskiy D
3 Hélder Lopes D
5 I. Nedelcearu D
33 O. Danchenko M
24 E. Svarnas D
6 N. Krstičić M
28 Y. Shakhov M
25 K. Galanopoulos M
11 K. Ansarifard F
14 C. Albanis F
Bench (9)
4 D. Szymański
88 S. Vasilantonopoulos
17 M. Tankovic
35 M. Kosidis
16 V. Chatziemmanouil
51 I. Sardelis
40 M. Mitaj
1 P. Tsintotas
52 E. Christopoulos

Coach: Manolo Jiménez

PAOK

3-4-3
31 A. Paschalakis G
5 Fernando Varela D
2 Rodrigo Alves M
21 A. Baba D
49 I. Michailidis D
20 Vieirinha M
22 S. Schwab M
10 T. Murg M
14 A. Živković F
33 Douglas M
27 M. Krmenčík F
Bench (9)
51 T. Tsiggaras
8 Amr Warda
9 K. Świderski
11 C. Tzolis
6 E. Mihaj
88 Ž. Živković
32 N. Ninua
19 E. Lyratzis
65 I. Konstantelias

Coach: P. García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,67
🔒
U
3,09
🔒
B ✓
2,67
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,48
🔒
U2,5
1,52
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Peljto · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.