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Super League

Referee: R Reinshreiber

Aris Thessalonikis

S T S T U

1–1

Full-time

Olympiakos

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Olympiakos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,2

This season — Super League · 32/36 matches

Win Ø 66%

53%

78%

Points per game

1,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

34%

53%

Both score Ø 39%

31%

47%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

0,7

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

6 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

5 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 5. · Olympiakos 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	36	28	6	2	+61	90
2	PAOK	35	17	11	7	+25	62
3	AEK	35	18	7	10	+9	61
4	Aris	33	17	8	8	+17	59
5	Aris Thessalonikis	32	17	7	8	+17	58
6	Panathinaikos	35	15	9	11	+10	54
7	Asteras Tripolis	36	12	13	11	-5	49
8	Volos NFC	33	9	13	11	-7	40
9	Giannina	33	9	10	14	-5	37
10	Lamia	33	8	11	14	-20	35
11	Atromitos	33	6	14	13	-16	32
12	Apollon	33	8	7	18	-14	31
13	OFI Crete	33	7	7	19	-23	28
14	Panetolikos	33	6	10	17	-23	28
15	Larisa	33	5	9	19	-26	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	19	17	2	0	+39	53
2	PAOK	17	10	7	0	+23	37
3	Asteras Tripolis	18	8	7	3	+4	31
4	Aris	17	9	3	5	+8	30
5	Aris Thessalonikis	16	9	2	5	+8	29
6	Panathinaikos	17	8	4	5	+8	28
7	AEK	17	7	5	5	+2	26
8	Volos NFC	17	5	6	6	-2	21
9	Atromitos	17	4	8	5	-2	20
10	Panetolikos	16	5	3	8	-7	18
11	Lamia	16	4	6	6	-7	18
12	Giannina	17	4	5	8	-5	17
13	Apollon	17	4	3	10	-9	15
14	OFI Crete	16	3	4	9	-14	13
15	Larisa	16	1	6	9	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	17	11	4	2	+22	37
2	AEK	18	11	2	5	+7	35
3	Aris Thessalonikis	16	8	5	3	+9	29
4	Aris	16	8	5	3	+9	29
5	Panathinaikos	18	7	5	6	+2	26
6	PAOK	18	7	4	7	+2	25
7	Giannina	16	5	5	6	+0	20
8	Volos NFC	16	4	7	5	-5	19
9	Asteras Tripolis	18	4	6	8	-9	18
10	Lamia	17	4	5	8	-13	17
11	Apollon	16	4	4	8	-5	16
12	OFI Crete	17	4	3	10	-9	15
13	Larisa	17	4	3	10	-11	15
14	Atromitos	16	2	6	8	-14	12
15	Panetolikos	17	1	7	9	-16	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.