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Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Costa
Boavista
U U T U U
2–2
Full-time
Benfica
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 44%
14%
73%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
41%
64%
Both score Ø 69%
73%
64%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,1
2,6
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

44% Possession 56%
14 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boavista 12. · Benfica 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 22 19 3 0 +41 60
2 Sp Lisbon 22 17 3 2 +28 54
3 Benfica 22 16 2 4 +38 50
4 Sp Braga 22 12 5 5 +16 41
5 Gil Vicente 22 10 7 5 +9 37
6 Guimaraes 22 8 6 8 +5 30
7 Estoril 22 7 9 6 +2 30
8 Maritimo 22 7 7 8 -2 28
9 Portimonense 22 7 6 9 -2 27
10 Santa Clara 22 6 6 10 -15 24
11 Vizela 22 5 8 9 -13 23
12 Boavista 22 3 12 7 -9 21
13 Pacos Ferreira 22 4 9 9 -10 21
14 Famalicao 22 4 8 10 -9 20
15 Tondela 22 6 2 14 -15 20
16 Moreirense 22 4 7 11 -15 19
17 Arouca 22 4 6 12 -22 18
18 Belenenses 22 3 6 13 -27 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Benfica
15′
🟨 Julian Weigl
Y. Hamache 🔁
↦ Tiago Ilori
18′
21′
A. Taarabt 0–1
Rafa Silva
27′
🟨 Nicolás Otamendi
30′
Álex Grimaldo 0–2
Sebastián Pérez 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–2
Javi García 🟨
47′
K. Gorré 🔁
↦ Y. Njie
62′
Kenji Gorré 🟨
69′
73′
🔁 N. Radonjić
↦ Éverton
73′
🔁 João Mário
↦ A. Taarabt
1–2 Gustavo Sauer
P. Musa
74′
75′
🟨 Gonçalo Ramos
2–2 G. Makouta
K. Gorré
80′
84′
🟨 Alejandro Grimaldo
Petar Musa 🟨
85′
87′
🔁 R. Yaremchuk
↦ Gonçalo Ramos
87′
🔁 Gilberto
↦ Álex Grimaldo
Yanis Hamache 🟨
90′
Francisco Pereira 🔁
↦ S. Pérez
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Boavista

5-4-1
1 Rafael Bracali G
20 Filipe Ferreira D
4 Tiago Ilori D
2 R. Cannon D
22 Nathan D
6 Javi García D
24 S. Pérez M
42 G. Makouta M
8 Gustavo Sauer M
9 P. Musa F
11 Y. Njie M
Bench (9)
25 Y. Hamache
7 K. Gorré
87 Francisco Pereira
90 A. Beiranvand
77 Luís Santos
13 Guito
14 Tomás Reymão
36 P. Ntep
27 J. De Santis

Coach: Petit

Benfica

4-4-2
99 O. Vlachodimos G
5 J. Vertonghen D
30 N. Otamendi D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
49 A. Taarabt M
22 V. Lazaro D
27 Rafa Silva M
28 J. Weigl M
7 Éverton M
9 D. Núñez F
88 Gonçalo Ramos F
Bench (9)
23 N. Radonjić
20 João Mário
15 R. Yaremchuk
2 Gilberto
91 Morato
17 Diogo Gonçalves
55 Paulo Bernardo
11 S. Meïté
77 Helton Leite

Coach: Nelson Veríssimo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,07
U ✓
4,76
B
1,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,28
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rui Costa · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.