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2. Bundesliga

Schalke 04

U U S S T

2–0

Full-time

Paderborn

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 43%

50%

36%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

64%

Both score Ø 69%

64%

73%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

15 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 6

4 Corners 2

14 Free kicks against 10

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Schalke 04 5. · Paderborn 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	22	12	5	5	+14	41
2	Werder Bremen	22	12	5	5	+13	41
3	Hamburg	22	10	10	2	+21	40
4	Darmstadt	22	12	4	6	+18	40
5	Schalke 04	22	11	4	7	+16	37
6	Heidenheim	22	11	4	7	+0	37
7	Nurnberg	22	9	6	7	-2	33
8	Paderborn	22	8	8	6	+10	32
9	Regensburg	22	9	4	9	+7	31
10	Holstein Kiel	22	8	7	7	-4	31
11	Karlsruhe	22	7	8	7	+3	29
12	Dresden	22	7	4	11	-8	25
13	Hannover	22	6	7	9	-14	25
14	Hansa Rostock	22	6	6	10	-9	24
15	Sandhausen	22	6	6	10	-15	24
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	22	6	5	11	-6	23
17	Erzgebirge Aue	22	3	6	13	-23	15
18	Ingolstadt	22	3	5	14	-21	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	10	8	2	0	+19	26
2	Hamburg	12	6	6	0	+13	24
3	Heidenheim	11	7	3	1	+8	24
4	Schalke 04	11	6	2	3	+10	20
5	Darmstadt	10	6	1	3	+10	19
6	Karlsruhe	12	5	4	3	+6	19
7	Werder Bremen	10	5	3	2	+9	18
8	Regensburg	12	5	2	5	+5	17
9	Nurnberg	11	5	2	4	+1	17
10	Holstein Kiel	11	5	2	4	-2	17
11	Dresden	10	5	1	4	+3	16
12	Hannover	11	3	4	4	-5	13
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	2	4	5	-2	10
14	Paderborn	12	2	4	6	-3	10
15	Hansa Rostock	11	2	3	6	-7	9
16	Erzgebirge Aue	12	2	2	8	-13	8
17	Ingolstadt	11	1	4	6	-8	7
18	Sandhausen	10	1	3	6	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Werder Bremen	12	7	2	3	+4	23
2	Paderborn	10	6	4	0	+13	22
3	Darmstadt	12	6	3	3	+8	21
4	Sandhausen	12	5	3	4	-2	18
5	Schalke 04	11	5	2	4	+6	17
6	Hamburg	10	4	4	2	+8	16
7	Nurnberg	11	4	4	3	-3	16
8	Hansa Rostock	11	4	3	4	-2	15
9	St Pauli	12	4	3	5	-5	15
10	Regensburg	10	4	2	4	+2	14
11	Holstein Kiel	11	3	5	3	-2	14
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	4	1	6	-4	13
13	Heidenheim	11	4	1	6	-8	13
14	Hannover	11	3	3	5	-9	12
15	Karlsruhe	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Dresden	12	2	3	7	-11	9
17	Erzgebirge Aue	10	1	4	5	-10	7
18	Ingolstadt	11	2	1	8	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.