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Primeira Liga
Referee: António Nobre
Santa Clara
S T T T S
0–0
Full-time
Farense
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Farense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Primeira Liga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
63%
19%
Points per game
1,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
31%
38%
Both score Ø 38%
31%
44%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,63 xG 0,09
69% Possession 31%
17 Shots 2
6 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
13 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Santa Clara 5. · Farense 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 17 13 2 2 +34 +28.8 41
2 Porto 16 13 1 2 +31 +19.4 40
3 Benfica 17 12 2 3 +27 +18.6 38
4 Sp Braga 17 9 4 4 +11 +11.6 31
5 Santa Clara 16 10 0 6 +2 +8.1 30
6 Guimaraes 17 6 7 4 +4 +6.5 25
7 Casa Pia 16 6 5 5 -1 -2.5 23
8 Moreirense 17 6 4 7 -3 +0.4 22
9 Famalicao 16 4 7 5 +0 -5.3 19
10 Rio Ave 16 5 4 7 -10 -9.6 19
11 Gil Vicente 16 4 6 6 -7 -8.1 18
12 Estrela 16 4 4 8 -11 -8.5 16
13 AVS 17 2 9 6 -11 -8.6 15
14 Estoril 16 3 6 7 -12 -15.8 15
15 Arouca 17 4 3 10 -15 -11.2 15
16 Nacional 16 3 4 9 -12 -3.4 13
17 Farense 16 3 4 9 -12 -14.7 13
18 Boavista 17 2 6 9 -15 -5.8 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santa Clara Farense
Matheus Pereira 🔁
↦ MT
26′
36′
🟨 Marco Moreno
45′
🟨 Marco Moreno
45′
🟥 Marco Moreno
Half-time 0–0
Alisson Safira 🔁
↦ Serginho
46′
46′
🔁 Raúl Silva
↦ M. Merghem
60′
🔁 Jaime Pinto
↦ Tomané
Diogo Calila 🟨
61′
Alisson Safira 🟨
74′
Bruno Almeida 🔁
↦ Vinícius Lopes
75′
Ricardinho 🔁
↦ Frederico Venâncio
75′
Pedro Ferreira 🔁
↦ Gustavo Klismahn
75′
80′
🔁 Derick Poloni
↦ Marco Matias
80′
🔁 André Seruca
↦ Miguel Menino
Ricardinho 🟨
81′
89′
🟨 Jaime Pinto
89′
🔁 Filipe Soares
↦ Lucas Áfrico
92′
🟨 André Seruca
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Santa Clara

3-4-3
1 Gabriel Batista G
23 Sidney Lima D
27 Guilherme Ramos D
21 Frederico Venâncio D
2 Diogo Calila M
35 Serginho M
6 Adriano Firmino M
32 MT M
77 Gustavo Klismahn F
70 Vinícius Lopes F
11 Gabriel Silva F
Bench (9)
3 Matheus Pereira
9 Alisson Safira
19 Bruno Almeida
10 Ricardinho
8 Pedro Ferreira
42 Lucas Soares
41 Daniel Borges
12 Neneca
28 Habraão

Coach: Vasco Matos

Farense

3-4-3
33 Ricardo Velho G
3 Marco Moreno D
29 Cláudio Falcão D
44 Lucas Áfrico D
28 Pastor M
6 Neto M
93 Miguel Menino M
2 Paulo Victor M
79 M. Merghem F
9 Tomané F
77 Marco Matias F
Bench (9)
34 Raúl Silva
71 Jaime Pinto
31 Derick Poloni
50 André Seruca
21 Filipe Soares
14 Darío Poveda
7 Elves Baldé
70 Rivaldo Morais
23 Lucas Cañizares

Coach: Tozé Marreco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,67
U ✓
3,45
B
5,57
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,35
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

António Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.