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Pro League
Referee: Wesley Alen
Charleroi
S S S T U
1–2
Full-time
Anderlecht
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,3
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 27%
44%
9%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
67%
36%
Both score Ø 52%
67%
36%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
4 Corners 4
23 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 8. · Anderlecht 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 9 7 2 0 +20 23
2 Standard 10 7 1 2 +17 22
3 Antwerp 9 6 1 2 +11 19
4 Gent 9 5 2 2 +11 17
5 Genk 10 5 2 3 +7 17
6 Mouscron 9 4 4 1 +3 16
7 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 4 4 1 +3 16
8 Charleroi 9 4 3 2 +5 15
9 Mechelen 10 4 3 3 -2 15
10 Waregem 10 3 5 2 +0 14
11 St Truiden 11 3 4 4 -4 13
12 Oostende 9 3 2 4 -5 11
13 Kortrijk 10 2 2 6 -5 8
14 Anderlecht 11 1 5 5 -5 8
15 Eupen 11 1 4 6 -16 7
16 Cercle Brugge 10 2 0 8 -12 6
17 Waasland-Beveren 9 0 4 5 -14 4
18 Beveren 9 0 4 5 -14 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Anderlecht
12′
Y. Verschaeren 0–1
N. Chadli
28′
🟨 Killian Sardella
28′
🔁 F. Amuzu
↦ S. Nasri
1–1 M. Fall
M. Bruno
40′
44′
🟨 Sieben Dewaele
Half-time 1–1
Stergos Marinos 🟨
53′
59′
🟨 Philippe Sandler
64′
N. Chadli 1–2
S. Dewaele
Núrio Furtuna 🟨
67′
K. Rezaei 🔁
↦ G. Hendrickx
70′
A. Gholizadeh 🔁
↦ S. Marinos
76′
81′
🟨 Kemar Roofe
82′
🟨 Nacer Chadli
83′
🔁 P. Žulj
↦ N. Chadli
F. Tsadjout 🔁
↦ R. Morioka
86′
87′
🔁 E. Cobbaut
↦ M. Vlap
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
1 N. Penneteau G
17 S. Marinos D
24 D. Dessoleil D
5 M. Diagne D
25 Nurio Fortuna D
13 C. Diandy M
44 R. Morioka M
77 M. Bruno F
22 G. Hendrickx M
27 M. Fall F
16 S. Nicholson F
Bench (7)
10 K. Rezaei
8 A. Gholizadeh
18 F. Tsadjout
21 E. Sağlık
40 R. Descamps
23 S. Willems
4 M. Busi

Coach: K. Belhocine

Anderlecht

4-3-3
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
32 D. Luckassen D
34 P. Sandler D
54 K. Sardella D
14 S. Nasri M
19 N. Chadli M
10 M. Vlap M
50 S. Dewaele M
48 A. Lokonga F
51 Y. Verschaeren M
93 K. Roofe F
Bench (7)
40 F. Amuzu
23 P. Žulj
22 E. Cobbaut
55 M. Kana
24 I. Thelin
49 J. Doku
16 T. Didillon

Coach: J. De Roeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,43
U
3,42
B ✓
2,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wesley Alen · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.