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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Anderlecht
T S S T T
3–1
Full-time
Charleroi
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
This season — Pro League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
68%
44%
Both score Ø 58%
64%
52%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,9
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Anderlecht 2. · Charleroi 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 26 18 5 3 +33 59
2 Anderlecht 25 15 4 6 +12 49
3 Genk 26 11 11 4 +12 44
4 Standard 25 12 7 6 +7 43
5 Gent 25 12 6 7 +17 42
6 Kortrijk 30 12 6 12 +3 42
7 Antwerp 30 10 11 9 -2 41
8 Charleroi 25 10 9 6 +5 39
9 Waregem 30 11 4 15 -5 37
10 St Truiden 30 9 10 11 -12 37
11 Oostende 30 10 6 14 +1 36
12 Beveren 30 9 8 13 -1 35
13 Lokeren 30 8 7 15 -16 31
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 8 6 16 -19 30
15 Eupen 30 6 9 15 -17 27
16 Mechelen 30 6 9 15 -18 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Charleroi
1–0 P. Gerkens
R. Morioka
44′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 R. Morioka
L. Dendoncker
57′
58′
🔁 K. Rezaei
↦ D. Pollet
58′
🔁 C. Benavente
↦ M. Fall
A. Saelemaekers 🔁
↦ A. Najar
67′
70′
K. Rezaei 2–1
A. Baby
3–1 L. Dendoncker
A. Trebel
73′
76′
🔁 R. Grange
↦ C. Diandy
F. Amuzu 🔁
↦ K. Saief
83′
L. Marković 🔁
↦ R. Morioka
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

1 M. Sels
3 O. Deschacht
7 A. Najar
2 Josué Sá
20 S. Kums
10 R. Morioka
25 A. Trebel
15 K. Saief
8 P. Gerkens
32 L. Dendoncker
35 S. Ganvoula
Bench (8)
56 A. Saelemaekers
40 F. Amuzu
50 L. Marković
30 B. de Jong
17 M. Bruno
47 A. Dante
48 A. Lokonga
39 E. Kayembe

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau
17 S. Marinos
41 F. N'Ganga
8 Javi Martos
24 D. Dessoleil
18 A. Baby
13 C. Diandy
26 M. Ilaimaharitra
77 M. Fall
10 D. Pollet
99 C. Bedia
Bench (8)
9 K. Rezaei
14 C. Benavente
29 R. Grange
6 G. Zajkov
2 A. D'Alberto
19 W. Semedo
35 P. Mandanda
25 Nurio Fortuna

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.