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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Anderlecht
S S S S U
3–1
Full-time
St Truiden
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
4,3
3,2
Scored
3,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,7
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Anderlecht 14. · St Truiden 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mechelen 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 Beerschot VA 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Charleroi 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Genk 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Club Brugge 2 1 0 1 +3 3
6 Waasland-Beveren 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Beveren 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 St Truiden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Standard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Cercle Brugge 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Kortrijk 3 1 0 2 -3 3
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Antwerp 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Anderlecht 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Mouscron 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Eupen 2 0 1 1 -4 1
18 Gent 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Oostende 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Waregem 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht St Truiden
1–0 B. Mykhaylichenko
41′
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟥 Ibrahima Sory Sankhon
2–0 L. Dimata
A. Trebel
50′
Peter Žulj 🟨
52′
56′
🔁 Jonathan Buatu
↦ K. Nakamura
60′
🔁 S. Asamoah
↦ S. De Ridder
Landry Dimata 🟨
61′
P. Tau 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
64′
72′
🔁 N. Balongo
↦ Y. Suzuki
A. Colassin 🔁
↦ L. Dimata
73′
E. Kayembe 🔁
↦ B. Mykhaylichenko
80′
88′
N. Balongo 2–1
K. Matsubara
3–1 P. Tau
E. Cobbaut
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-3-3
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
14 B. Mykhaylichenko D
32 D. Luckassen D
22 E. Cobbaut D
62 M. Murillo D
23 P. Žulj M
25 A. Trebel M
10 M. Vlap M
46 A. El Hadj M
9 L. Dimata F
49 J. Doku F
Bench (7)
11 P. Tau
53 A. Colassin
39 E. Kayembe
51 Y. Verschaeren
55 M. Kana
1 T. Wellenreuther
48 A. Lokonga

Coach: F. Vercauteren

St Truiden

4-4-2
1 K. Steppe G
26 Jorge Teixeira D
20 S. Mmaee D
2 K. Matsubara D
32 C. Durkin M
5 S. Colombatto M
8 I. Sankhon M
16 S. De Ridder M
9 Y. Suzuki F
18 F. Colidio F
15 K. Nakamura F
Bench (7)
39 Jonathan Buatu
12 S. Asamoah
30 N. Balongo
35 W. Vanmarsenille
33 Jhonny Lucas
10 Lee Seung-Woo
4 Pol García

Coach: K. Muscat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,43
U
4,60
B
6,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,22
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.