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Eliteserien
Referee: Rohit Saggi
Rosenborg
S T S T S
3–2
Full-time
Aalesund
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
46%
8%
Points per game
1,6
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
62%
85%
Both score Ø 66%
46%
85%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
0,8
3,1
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

66% Possession 34%
15 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 5. · Aalesund 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 14 12 2 0 +29 38
2 Molde 15 10 1 4 +24 31
3 Odd 14 9 1 4 +8 28
4 Valerenga 13 6 5 2 +1 23
5 Rosenborg 13 6 3 4 +11 21
6 Kristiansund 14 5 6 3 +7 21
7 Stabaek 14 4 6 4 -2 18
8 Brann 14 5 3 6 -3 18
9 Stromsgodset 14 5 3 6 -7 18
10 Sarpsborg 08 14 5 2 7 -1 17
11 Sandefjord 14 5 1 8 -9 16
12 Haugesund 14 4 3 7 -9 15
13 Mjondalen 14 4 2 8 -6 14
14 Viking 14 3 4 7 -9 13
15 Start 14 1 6 7 -12 9
16 Aalesund 13 1 4 8 -22 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Aalesund
16′
H. Fridjonsson 0–1
N. Castro
30′
🟨 Gudmund Kongshavn
1–1 D. Islamović
32′
2–1 D. Islamović
V. Hedenstad
34′
Dino Islamović 🟨
39′
45′
🟨 Fredrik Carlsen
3–1 K. Zachariassen
C. Holse
45′
Half-time 3–1
P. Helland 🔁
↦ K. Zachariassen
46′
51′
🟨 Simen Bolkan Nordli
66′
🔁 I. Uzochukwu
↦ F. Carlsen
66′
🔁 Nenass
↦ S. Nordli
69′
H. Fridjonsson 3–2
N. Castro
74′
🔁 M. Karlsbakk
↦ H. Fridjonsson
T. Børven 🔁
↦ D. Islamović
79′
G. Valsvik 🔁
↦ V. Hedenstad
82′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Rosenborg

4-3-3
13 J. Lund G
4 T. Reginiussen D
16 E. Hovland D
2 V. Hedenstad D
21 E. Reitan D
22 G. Åsen M
18 K. Zachariassen M
20 E. Tagseth M
9 D. Islamović F
11 C. Holse F
35 E. Ceïde F
Bench (8)
10 P. Helland
14 T. Børven
19 G. Valsvik
26 W. Kamanzi
23 F. Brattbakk
28 S. Adegbenro
24 S. Tangvik
39 S. Skogen

Coach: T. Henriksen

Aalesund

3-5-2
25 G. Kongshavn G
4 J. Grønner D
3 D. Grétarsson D
18 D. Ólafsson M
6 D. Klinkenberg D
8 F. Carlsen M
11 S. Nordli M
38 I. Määttä M
10 H. Fridjonsson F
22 S. Haugen F
9 N. Castro M
Bench (8)
30 I. Uzochukwu
7 Nenass
41 M. Karlsbakk
5 O. Lie
28 H. Breivik
14 J. Mutch
32 K. Ødven
1 A. Lie

Coach: L. Bohinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rohit Saggi · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.