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Pro League
Referee: Nathan Verboomen
Anderlecht
U T S S S
7–0
Full-time
Waregem
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
47%
59%
Both score Ø 46%
47%
44%
Average goals
2,2
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
5 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 8. · Waregem 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 32 24 7 1 +48 79
2 Gent 31 18 7 6 +31 61
3 Charleroi 32 17 10 5 +30 61
4 Antwerp 31 16 8 7 +21 56
5 Standard 32 16 7 9 +19 55
6 Mechelen 32 16 5 11 +10 53
7 Genk 32 15 6 11 +9 51
8 Anderlecht 32 12 12 8 +13 48
9 Waregem 32 12 7 13 +4 43
10 Mouscron 29 9 9 11 -2 36
11 Kortrijk 32 10 6 16 -7 36
12 St Truiden 32 10 6 16 -17 36
13 Eupen 32 10 6 16 -23 36
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 8 9 11 -3 33
15 Cercle Brugge 32 9 4 19 -24 31
16 Oostende 32 6 5 21 -32 23
17 Beveren 28 5 5 18 -38 20
18 Waasland-Beveren 29 5 5 19 -39 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Waregem
0–1 E. Pletinckx
own goal
6′
1–1 M. Vlap
A. Lokonga
15′
22′
🟨 Davy de Fauw
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Walsh
↦ D. De fauw
2–1 J. Doku
V. Kompany
49′
53′
🟨 Olivier Deschacht
3–1 M. Vlap
65′
Dejan Joveljić 🟨
67′
71′
🔁 A. Sissako
↦ D. Marcq
Y. Verschaeren 🔁
↦ F. Amuzu
73′
4–1 J. Doku
A. Lokonga
75′
N. Chadli 🔁
↦ D. Joveljić
77′
Jeremy Doku 🟨
81′
5–1 M. Vlap
P. Žulj
83′
6–1 N. Chadli
J. Doku
86′
K. Lawrence 🔁
↦ V. Kompany
87′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-3-3
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
4 V. Kompany D
22 E. Cobbaut D
62 M. Murillo D
54 K. Sardella D
23 P. Žulj M
10 M. Vlap M
40 F. Amuzu F
48 A. Lokonga F
28 D. Joveljić F
49 J. Doku F
Bench (7)
51 Y. Verschaeren
19 N. Chadli
92 K. Lawrence
39 E. Kayembe
20 M. Pjaca
55 M. Kana
33 D. Roef

Coach: F. Vercauteren

Waregem

4-3-3
44 E. Bansen G
2 D. De fauw D
45 O. Deschacht D
4 G. Mensah M
24 E. Pletinckx D
5 D. Marcq M
10 O. Govea M
22 J. Vossen F
19 G. Bruno F
17 J. Dompé F
9 C. Larin F
Bench (7)
14 S. Walsh
6 A. Sissako
11 B. Srarfi
43 N. Kainourgios
67 J. Van Hecke
1 S. Bossut
38 S. Berahino

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,41
U
4,66
B
6,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,24
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nathan Verboomen · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.