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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
Mechelen
S T U T T
0–3
Full-time
Club Brugge
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,3
1,7
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
2,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 40%
27%
53%
Points per game
1,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
73%
53%
Both score Ø 64%
80%
47%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,9
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 8
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 17. · Club Brugge 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 20 10 6 4 +9 36
2 Genk 15 9 5 1 +17 32
3 Charleroi 19 9 4 6 +6 31
4 Beerschot VA 18 10 1 7 +1 31
5 Club Brugge 15 8 4 3 +18 28
6 Anderlecht 16 6 9 1 +10 27
7 Antwerp 15 7 5 3 +7 26
8 Kortrijk 19 7 5 7 -1 26
9 Gent 17 8 1 8 +7 25
10 Standard 15 6 6 3 +4 24
11 Eupen 17 5 9 3 -1 24
12 Waregem 18 7 3 8 -4 24
13 Cercle Brugge 19 7 0 12 -6 21
14 Oostende 16 5 4 7 +1 19
15 Waasland-Beveren 17 5 3 9 -11 18
16 Beveren 17 5 3 9 -11 18
17 Mechelen 15 4 4 7 -5 16
18 Mouscron 17 3 5 9 -14 14
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 17 3 5 9 -14 14
20 St Truiden 18 2 6 10 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Club Brugge
37′
🔁 D. Okereke
↦ N. Lang
O. Kaya 🔁
↦ S. Defour
38′
Thibault Peyre 🟨
41′
Nikola Storm 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
59′
🔁 S. Deli
↦ É. Balanta
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga 🟨
63′
69′
O. Kaya 1–0
own goal
S. Bateau 🔁
↦ R. Bushiri
70′
G. Engvall 🔁
↦ N. Storm
71′
74′
K. Diatta 1–1
H. Vanaken
84′
🔁 I. Van der Brempt
↦ K. Diatta
89′
D. Okereke 1–2
M. Rits
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-3-3
15 Y. Thoelen G
5 S. Walsh D
23 T. Peyre D
26 V. Wernersson D
6 R. Bushiri D
88 S. Defour M
7 G. Hairemans
16 R. Schoofs M
40 A. Vranckx M
11 N. Storm F
19 K. Mrabti M
Bench (7)
8 O. Kaya
4 S. Bateau
20 G. Engvall
3 L. Bijker
35 M. Shved
1 G. Coucke
29 I. Kaboré

Coach: W. Vrancken

Club Brugge

3-5-2
88 S. Mignolet G
77 Clinton Mata D
44 B. Mechele D
18 F. Ricca D
5 O. Kossounou D
26 M. Rits M
20 H. Vanaken M
3 É. Balanta M
11 K. Diatta M
90 C. De Ketelaere M
10 N. Lang F
Bench (7)
21 D. Okereke
17 S. Deli
28 I. Van der Brempt
2 E. Sobol
27 Y. Badji
97 T. Van den Keybus
91 S. Lammens

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,50
U
3,94
B ✓
1,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,33
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.