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Pro League
Referee: J Vergoote
Eupen
T U U U S
1–1
Full-time
Mechelen
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 15/12 matches
Win Ø 30%
27%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
47%
75%
Both score Ø 71%
67%
75%
Average goals
2,7
3,6
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 25
3 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 8
7 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 11. · Mechelen 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 15 9 5 1 +17 32
2 Beerschot VA 15 10 1 4 +6 31
3 Antwerp 14 7 5 2 +8 26
4 Club Brugge 14 7 4 3 +17 25
5 Standard 14 6 6 2 +5 24
6 Charleroi 16 7 3 6 +4 24
7 Anderlecht 14 5 8 1 +9 23
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14 6 4 4 +1 22
9 Kortrijk 16 6 4 6 +1 22
10 Cercle Brugge 16 7 0 9 -3 21
11 Eupen 15 4 8 3 -2 20
12 Waregem 16 6 2 8 -5 20
13 Gent 15 6 1 8 +1 19
14 Oostende 14 4 4 6 +1 16
15 Mechelen 12 4 3 5 -3 15
16 St Truiden 16 2 6 8 -11 12
17 Waasland-Beveren 14 3 3 8 -11 12
18 Beveren 14 3 3 8 -11 12
19 Mouscron 13 2 4 7 -12 10
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 13 2 4 7 -12 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Mechelen
1–0 J. Ngoy
N. Schouterden
20′
Half-time 1–0
A. Baby 🔁
↦ S. Prevljak
62′
J. Heris 🔁
↦ Adriano
67′
74′
🔁 W. Togui
↦ O. Kaya
78′
🟨 Jordi Vanlerberghe
84′
🔁 I. Kaboré
↦ V. Wernersson
K. N’Dri 🔁
↦ K. Musona
86′
88′
🟨 Joachim Van Damme
92′
R. Schoofs 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Eupen

3-4-3
31 T. Defourny G
21 Adriano D
5 Jordi Amat D
23 S. Miangué M
22 E. Agbadou D
18 N. Schouterden M
8 S. Peeters M
39 E. Kayembe M
10 K. Musona F
9 S. Prevljak F
7 J. Ngoy F
Bench (7)
11 A. Baby
28 J. Heris
34 K. N’Dri
77 M. Koné
3 M. Koch
32 A. Beck
30 A. Nurudeen

Coach: Beñat San José

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 G. Coucke G
5 S. Walsh D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
26 V. Wernersson D
14 S. Voet D
8 O. Kaya M
7 G. Hairemans M
13 J. Van Damme M
16 R. Schoofs M
11 N. Storm F
19 K. Mrabti M
Bench (7)
9 W. Togui
29 I. Kaboré
21 N. Dailly
37 B. Van den Eynden
23 T. Peyre
15 Y. Thoelen
3 L. Bijker

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,51
U ✓
3,31
B
2,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.