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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Antwerp
U T S S S
2–3
Full-time
Genk
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 55%
59%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
59%
63%
Both score Ø 71%
66%
75%
Average goals
3,1
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
27 Shots 24
9 Shots on target 9
7 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antwerp 2. · Genk 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 32 23 5 4 +50 74
2 Antwerp 32 19 7 6 +19 64
3 Genk 32 16 10 6 +23 58
4 Waregem 38 18 4 16 -7 58
5 Mechelen 32 16 7 9 +10 55
6 Beerschot VA 38 16 6 16 -6 54
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 38 14 10 14 -2 52
8 Gent 32 15 6 11 +23 51
9 Anderlecht 32 11 16 5 +15 49
10 Oostende 32 14 7 11 +6 49
11 Kortrijk 38 14 6 18 -8 48
12 Eupen 38 11 15 12 -10 48
13 Standard 32 12 9 11 +7 45
14 Charleroi 38 11 12 15 -5 45
15 Cercle Brugge 38 14 3 21 -7 45
16 St Truiden 38 11 9 18 -12 42
17 Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
19 Waasland-Beveren 34 8 7 19 -26 31
20 Beveren 34 8 7 19 -26 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Genk
Ritchie De Laet 🟨
10′
20′
T. Bongonda 0–1
J. Ito
Half-time 1–1
1–1 M. Le Marchand
57′
2–1 K. Miyoshi
D. Mbokani
61′
73′
P. Onuachu 2–2
T. Bongonda
Birger Verstraete 🟨
74′
P. Gerkens 🔁
↦ K. Miyoshi
77′
F. Boya 🔁
↦ B. Verstraete
77′
Frank Boya 🟨
81′
82′
🟨 Gerardo Arteaga
88′
T. Bongonda 2–3
J. Ito
90′
🔁 M. McKenzie
↦ B. Toma
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Antwerp

3-4-2-1
46 J. Butez G
2 R. De Laet M
31 M. Le Marchand D
21 D. Batubinsika D
30 Buta M
4 A. Seck D
5 B. Verstraete M
19 K. Miyoshi F
18 M. Hongla Yma M
70 D. Mbokani F
7 D. Lamkel Zé F
Bench (7)
16 P. Gerkens
15 F. Boya
25 A. De Sart
22 B. Nsimba
14 N. De Pauw
97 O. De Wolf
94 J. Lukaku

Coach: F. Vercauteren

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
5 G. Arteaga D
23 D. Muñoz D
17 P. Hrošovský M
14 B. Toma M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
18 P. Onuachu F
10 T. Bongonda M
7 J. Ito M
Bench (7)
2 M. McKenzie
19 S. Diawara
40 T. Leysen
15 J. Geusens
77 A. Preciado
21 J. Uronen
24 L. Oyen

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,78
U
3,58
B ✓
2,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,08
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.