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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Antwerp
T S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Genk
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 62%
62%
62%
Points per game
1,9
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
52%
62%
Both score Ø 55%
48%
62%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,4
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
6 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antwerp 9. · Genk 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 30 12 11 7 +11 47
2 Genk 21 13 6 2 +25 45
3 Standard 21 13 6 2 +21 45
4 Kortrijk 30 12 7 11 +2 43
5 Charleroi 30 12 6 12 +0 42
6 Gent 21 13 2 6 +16 41
7 Club Brugge 21 12 4 5 +23 40
8 Anderlecht 21 12 4 5 +13 40
9 Antwerp 21 13 1 7 +8 40
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 11 7 12 +0 40
11 Waregem 30 8 9 13 -11 33
12 Eupen 30 10 2 18 -23 32
13 Cercle Brugge 30 7 7 16 -24 28
14 Beveren 30 5 12 13 -13 27
15 Oostende 30 6 9 15 -23 27
16 Lokeren 30 5 5 20 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Genk
1–0 Lior Refaelov
4′
35′
🔁 Jhon Lucumi
↦ Joseph Aidoo
38′
🟨 Jhon Lucumi
Half-time 1–0
Faris Haroun 🟨
51′
Dieumerci Mbokani 🟨
63′
66′
🔁 Joseph Paintsil
↦ Leandro Trossard
William Owusu 🔁
↦ Amara Baby
72′
David Simão 🔁
↦ Lior Refaelov
78′
83′
🔁 Zinho Gano
↦ Mbwana Samatta
Jonathan Bolingi 🔁
↦ Didier Lamkel Ze
88′
Jelle Van Damme 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Sander Berge
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
1 Sinan Bolat G
4 Daniel Opare D
15 Dino Arslanagic D
37 Jelle Van Damme D
6 Simen Juklerød D
38 Faris Haroun M
23 Omar Govea M
20 Didier Lamkel Ze F
11 Lior Refaelov M
14 Amara Baby M
70 Dieumerci Mbokani F
Bench (7)
39 Jens Teunckens
2 Matheus Borges
8 Ivo Rodrigues
22 David Simão
10 Geoffry Hairemans
19 William Owusu
9 Jonathan Bolingi

Genk

4-3-3
1 Danny Vukovic G
31 Joakim Maehle M
45 Joseph Aidoo D
6 Sébastien Dewaest D
21 Jere Uronen D
28 Bryan Heynen M
18 Ruslan Malinovskyi M
25 Sander Berge M
7 Junya Ito M
10 Mbwana Samatta F
14 Leandro Trossard F
Bench (10)
30 Nordin Jackers
23 Rubin Seigers
33 Jhon Lucumi
2 Casper De Norre
5 Neto Borges
4 Dries Wouters
11 Joseph Paintsil
19 Jakub Piotrowski
9 Marcus Ingvartsen
93 Zinho Gano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.