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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Mechelen
S S U S T
2–1
Full-time
Club Brugge
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 13/11 matches
Win Ø 51%
46%
55%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
62%
64%
Both score Ø 63%
62%
64%
Average goals
3,5
3,4
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 9. · Club Brugge 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 12 10 1 1 +22 31
2 Genk 13 7 3 3 +13 24
3 Anderlecht 12 6 5 1 +14 23
4 Antwerp 12 7 2 3 +7 23
5 Kortrijk 15 6 5 4 +3 23
6 Club Brugge 11 6 4 1 +7 22
7 Eupen 15 6 3 6 +2 21
8 Charleroi 12 5 5 2 +8 20
9 Mechelen 13 6 2 5 +0 20
10 Oostende 15 6 2 7 -6 20
11 Standard 15 5 5 5 -6 20
12 St Truiden 14 5 3 6 -5 18
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14 3 8 3 -4 17
14 Waregem 15 3 5 7 -15 14
15 Gent 12 3 4 5 +2 13
16 Seraing 14 4 1 9 -11 13
17 Seraing United 14 4 1 9 -11 13
18 Cercle Brugge 15 2 4 9 -8 10
19 Beerschot VA 15 2 3 10 -12 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Club Brugge
Geoffry Hairemans 🟨
24′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Hendry
↦ S. NSoki
46′
🔁 F. Ricca
↦ F. Maouassa
46′
🔁 M. Rits
↦ R. Vormer
51′
B. Dost 0–1
Vinicius De Souza Costa 🟨
54′
Jordi Vanlerberghe 🟨
62′
1–1 H. Cuypers
G. Hairemans
65′
68′
🟨 Éder Balanta
70′
🔁 N. Mbamba-Muanda
↦ É. Balanta
M. Shved 🔁
↦ N. Storm
71′
2–1 R. Schoofs
G. Hairemans
78′
G. Engvall 🔁
↦ G. Hairemans
79′
79′
🔁 K. Sowah
↦ N. Lang
I. de Camargo 🔁
↦ H. Cuypers
85′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 G. Coucke G
4 S. Bateau D
3 L. Bijker D
5 S. Walsh D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
7 G. Hairemans M
16 R. Schoofs M
33 Vinicius Souza M
11 N. Storm M
19 K. Mrabti M
14 H. Cuypers F
Bench (7)
35 M. Shved
20 G. Engvall
10 I. de Camargo
8 O. Kaya
15 Y. Thoelen
17 S. Oum Gouet
2 I. Swers

Coach: W. Vrancken

Club Brugge

4-3-3
22 S. Mignolet G
77 Clinton Mata D
44 B. Mechele D
11 F. Maouassa D
4 S. N'Soki D
25 R. Vormer M
20 H. Vanaken M
3 É. Balanta M
90 C. De Ketelaere F
29 B. Dost F
10 N. Lang F
Bench (7)
5 J. Hendry
18 F. Ricca
26 M. Rits
72 N. Mbamba-Muanda
19 K. Sowah
21 J. Izquierdo
91 S. Lammens

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,36
U
4,02
B
1,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,33
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.