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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Mechelen
S S S U S
0–1
Full-time
St Truiden
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
4,3
3,3
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 41%
50%
31%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
67%
62%
Both score Ø 68%
67%
69%
Average goals
3,8
2,6
Scored
1,9
1,1
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%
9 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 4
5 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Mechelen 9. · St Truiden 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 11 9 1 1 +18 28
2 Anderlecht 12 6 5 1 +14 23
3 Genk 12 7 2 3 +13 23
4 Antwerp 12 7 2 3 +7 23
5 Kortrijk 14 6 4 4 +3 22
6 Club Brugge 10 6 3 1 +7 21
7 Eupen 15 6 3 6 +2 21
8 Charleroi 11 5 5 1 +12 20
9 Mechelen 12 6 2 4 +1 20
10 Oostende 15 6 2 7 -6 20
11 Standard 14 5 4 5 -6 19
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14 3 8 3 -4 17
13 St Truiden 13 4 3 6 -6 15
14 Waregem 15 3 5 7 -15 14
15 Seraing 13 4 0 9 -11 12
16 Seraing United 13 4 0 9 -11 12
17 Gent 10 3 2 5 +2 11
18 Cercle Brugge 14 2 3 9 -8 9
19 Beerschot VA 14 2 2 10 -12 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen St Truiden
34′
L. Bijker 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
I. Swers 🔁
↦ L. Bijker
46′
F. Druijf 🔁
↦ S. Oum Gouet
46′
M. Shved 🔁
↦ H. Cuypers
63′
63′
🔁 L. Cacace
↦ A. Koita
66′
🟨 Taichi Hara
68′
🟨 Yuma Suzuki
Kerim Mrabti 🟨
70′
I. de Camargo 🔁
↦ S. Walsh
81′
G. Hairemans 🔁
↦ N. Storm
81′
82′
🟨 Daiki Hashioka
87′
🟥 Robert Bauer
88′
🟨 Dimitri Lavalėe
89′
🔁 C. Durkin
↦ Y. Suzuki
93′
🟨 Jorge Teixeira
94′
🔁 Jonathan Buatu
↦ S. De Ridder
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 G. Coucke G
4 S. Bateau D
3 L. Bijker D
5 S. Walsh D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
16 R. Schoofs M
17 S. Oum Gouet M
33 Vinicius Souza M
11 N. Storm M
19 K. Mrabti M
14 H. Cuypers F
Bench (7)
2 I. Swers
9 F. Druijf
35 M. Shved
10 I. de Camargo
7 G. Hairemans
8 O. Kaya
32 M. Wenssens

Coach: W. Vrancken

St Truiden

3-5-2
21 D. Schmidt G
26 Jorge Teixeira D
37 T. Leistner D
27 D. Lavalée D
4 D. Hashioka M
16 S. De Ridder M
44 C. Brüls M
20 R. Bauer M
9 Y. Suzuki F
14 A. Koita M
18 T. Hara F
Bench (7)
13 L. Cacace
32 C. Durkin
39 Jonathan Buatu
23 T. Ito
15 D. Hayashi
40 J. Pius
1 K. Steppe

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,83
U
3,81
B ✓
3,96
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,72
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.