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Pro League
Referee: B Put
St Truiden
T S S S U
1–1
Full-time
Mechelen
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 31/26 matches
Win Ø 45%
39%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
48%
65%
Both score Ø 57%
55%
58%
Average goals
2,4
3,4
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 10. · Mechelen 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 25 19 3 3 +43 60
2 Anderlecht 26 16 8 2 +41 56
3 Antwerp 26 16 4 6 +19 52
4 Club Brugge 24 15 5 4 +19 50
5 Charleroi 26 13 6 7 +10 45
6 Gent 25 12 7 6 +17 43
7 Kortrijk 31 11 10 10 +5 43
8 Cercle Brugge 31 12 6 13 +7 42
9 Mechelen 26 13 3 10 +0 42
10 St Truiden 31 12 5 14 -5 41
11 Genk 24 12 4 8 +19 40
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 10 10 10 -2 40
13 Standard 30 9 8 13 -13 35
14 Oostende 30 10 5 15 -23 35
15 Waregem 31 8 8 15 -26 32
16 Eupen 31 7 8 16 -17 29
17 Seraing 29 7 2 20 -32 23
18 Seraing United 29 7 2 20 -32 23
19 Beerschot VA 31 5 4 22 -30 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Mechelen
32′
H. Cuypers 0–1
37′
🟨 Jordi Vanlerberghe
40′
🟨 Rick Van Drongelen
41′
ℹ️ Rick Van Drongelen
VAR: Card reviewed
Half-time 0–1
S. Kagawa 🔁
↦ Jorge Teixeira
46′
1–1 João Klauss
T. Hara
61′
João Klauss 🟨
62′
W. Janssens 🔁
↦ A. Dony
62′
C. Durkin 🔁
↦ João Klauss
68′
74′
🔁 G. Engvall
↦ G. Hairemans
77′
🟨 Samuel Oum Gouet
R. Reitz 🔁
↦ D. Hayashi
85′
94′
🔁 É. Youan
↦ H. Cuypers
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St Truiden

5-3-2
21 D. Schmidt G
26 Jorge Teixeira D
20 R. Bauer D
27 D. Lavalée D
3 A. Al Dakhil D
85 A. Dony D
44 C. Brüls M
6 M. Konaté M
9 João Klauss F
18 T. Hara F
15 D. Hayashi M
Bench (7)
10 S. Kagawa
22 W. Janssens
32 C. Durkin
8 R. Reitz
31 A. Russo
53 R. Van Helden
30 N. Balongo

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
15 Y. Thoelen G
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
2 I. Swers D
34 R. van Drongelen D
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
7 G. Hairemans M
16 R. Schoofs M
17 S. Oum Gouet M
11 N. Storm M
19 K. Mrabti M
14 H. Cuypers F
Bench (7)
20 G. Engvall
10 É. Youan
12 R. Paeshuyse
32 M. Wenssens
37 B. Van den Eynden
8 O. Kaya
36 D. Asare

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,23
U ✓
3,49
B
3,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.