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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
Mechelen
T S S S S
2–2
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 25/30 matches
Win Ø 46%
52%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
64%
47%
Both score Ø 58%
56%
60%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

62% Possession 38%
21 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Mechelen 8. · Cercle Brugge 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 25 19 3 3 +43 60
2 Anderlecht 25 16 7 2 +41 55
3 Antwerp 26 16 4 6 +19 52
4 Club Brugge 24 15 5 4 +19 50
5 Charleroi 26 13 6 7 +10 45
6 Kortrijk 30 11 10 9 +7 43
7 Cercle Brugge 30 12 5 13 +7 41
8 Mechelen 25 13 2 10 +0 41
9 Gent 24 11 7 6 +16 40
10 St Truiden 30 12 4 14 -5 40
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 29 10 9 10 -2 39
12 Genk 23 11 4 8 +17 37
13 Oostende 29 10 4 15 -23 34
14 Standard 28 8 8 12 -13 32
15 Eupen 31 7 8 16 -17 29
16 Waregem 29 6 8 15 -28 26
17 Seraing 28 7 2 19 -31 23
18 Seraing United 28 7 2 19 -31 23
19 Beerschot VA 30 5 4 21 -29 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Cercle Brugge
1–0 H. Cuypers
R. Schoofs
31′
2–0 Vinicius Souza
G. Hairemans
37′
43′
S. Miangué 2–1
D. Hotič
45′
K. Denkey 2–2
Half-time 2–2
Vinicius De Souza Costa 🟨
47′
47′
🟨 Senna Miangue
49′
🟨 Hannes Van Der Bruggen
69′
🟨 Hannes Van Der Bruggen
69′
🟥 Hannes Van Der Bruggen
71′
🔁 C. Vanhoutte
↦ O. Deman
M. Shved 🔁
↦ G. Hairemans
75′
Vinicius De Souza Costa 🟨
76′
Vinicius De Souza Costa 🟥
76′
78′
🔁 Sousa
↦ S. Miangué
78′
🔁 S. Ganvoula
↦ K. Denkey
83′
🟨 Thomas Didillon
Rick Van Drongelen 🟨
86′
S. Oum Gouet 🔁
↦ R. Schoofs
92′
93′
🔁 E. Utkus
↦ D. Hotič
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 G. Coucke G
5 S. Walsh D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
34 R. van Drongelen D
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
7 G. Hairemans M
16 R. Schoofs M
33 Vinicius Souza M
11 N. Storm M
19 K. Mrabti M
14 H. Cuypers F
Bench (7)
35 M. Shved
17 S. Oum Gouet
8 O. Kaya
15 Y. Thoelen
2 I. Swers
10 É. Youan
20 G. Engvall

Coach: W. Vrancken

Cercle Brugge

4-3-3
1 T. Didillon G
18 S. Miangué D
5 B. Popović D
4 J. Daland D
2 Vitinho D
28 H. Van der Bruggen M
22 Leonardo Lopes M
23 O. Deman F
10 D. Hotič M
11 R. Matondo F
9 K. Denkey F
Bench (7)
14 C. Vanhoutte
3 Sousa
35 S. Ganvoula
6 E. Utkus
42 A. Sampers
19 D. Velkovski
21 Warleson

Coach: D. Thalhammer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,33
U ✓
3,53
B
2,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,03
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.