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Pro League
Referee: B Staessens
RWD Molenbeek
S T S T S
1–6
Full-time
Club Brugge
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RWD Molenbeek Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
2,7
Conceded
1,3
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 42%
29%
54%
Points per game
1,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
64%
38%
Both score Ø 55%
64%
46%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,1
2,0
Conceded
1,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,98 xG 4,37
37% Possession 63%
10 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match RWD Molenbeek 9. · Club Brugge 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 12 10 1 1 +19 +12.3 31
2 Cercle Brugge 12 10 0 2 +15 +14.5 30
3 Anderlecht 12 8 3 1 +13 +9.6 27
4 Club Brugge 13 7 3 3 +16 +19.2 24
5 Genk 12 6 4 2 +17 +18.7 22
6 Antwerp 11 5 5 1 +18 +12.5 20
7 Gent 12 5 5 2 +5 +5.5 20
8 Standard 13 4 5 4 -5 -12.4 17
9 RWD Molenbeek 14 4 4 6 -11 -14.4 16
10 Mechelen 12 4 3 5 -1 -3.1 15
11 Westerlo 13 3 3 7 -7 -5.8 12
12 St Truiden 11 2 5 4 -8 -6.1 11
13 Charleroi 14 2 5 7 -10 -8.3 11
14 Eupen 14 2 2 10 -20 -21.9 8
15 Kortrijk 15 2 2 11 -27 -14.3 8
16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12 1 2 9 -14 -6.0 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RWD Molenbeek Club Brugge
9′
Thiago 0–1
P. Zinckernagel
Youssouf Koné 🟨
12′
12′
🟨 Igor Thiago
13′
P. Zinckernagel 0–2
Thiago
38′
🔁 D. Odoi
↦ B. Meijer
Half-time 0–3
46′
A. Skov Olsen 0–3
H. Vetlesen
D. Doudaev 🔁
↦ X. Mercier
46′
55′
Thiago 0–4
1–4 I. Camara
William Klaus
56′
62′
ℹ️ Igor Thiago
VAR: Penalty confirmed
64′
Thiago 1–5
T. Gécé 🔁
↦ Y. Koné
65′
66′
🔁 É. Balanta
↦ H. Vetlesen
66′
🔁 A. Nusa
↦ A. Skov Olsen
66′
🔁 Ferran Jutglà
↦ Thiago
72′
H. Vanaken 1–6
M. Vandendaele 🔁
↦ William Klaus
76′
77′
🔁 M. Skóraś
↦ R. Onyedika
82′
🟨 Michał Skóraś
F. Da Silva 🔁
↦ P. Dwomoh
84′
Full-time 1–6

Line-ups

RWD Molenbeek

3-4-2-1
33 T. Defourny G
44 M. Sissako D
4 William Klaus D
99 Y. Koné D
17 I. Camara M
6 P. Dwomoh M
8 S. Abe M
26 Abner M
30 X. Mercier F
47 P. Mboup F
9 M. Gueye F
Bench (7)
32 D. Doudaev
20 T. Gécé
55 M. Vandendaele
69 F. Da Silva
27 Rikelmi
28 G. Hubert
11 N. Dailly

Coach: Cláudio Caçapa

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
55 M. De Cuyper D
58 J. Spileers D
44 B. Mechele D
14 B. Meijer D
20 H. Vanaken M
15 R. Onyedika M
7 A. Skov Olsen M
10 H. Vetlesen M
77 P. Zinckernagel M
99 Thiago F
Bench (7)
6 D. Odoi
39 É. Balanta
32 A. Nusa
9 Ferran Jutglà
8 M. Skóraś
28 D. Boyata
29 N. Jackers

Coach: R. Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,03
U
4,94
B ✓
1,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,23
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Staessens · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.