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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
Club Brugge
S S S U S
2–0
Full-time
Gent
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
0,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 48%
50%
45%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
42%
45%
Both score Ø 62%
50%
73%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,21 xG 0,35
53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Club Brugge 4. · Gent 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 11 9 1 1 +18 +12.0 28
2 Anderlecht 12 8 3 1 +13 +9.6 27
3 Cercle Brugge 11 9 0 2 +12 +11.2 27
4 Club Brugge 12 6 3 3 +14 +17.3 21
5 Antwerp 11 5 5 1 +18 +12.5 20
6 Gent 11 5 5 1 +7 +7.4 20
7 Genk 11 5 4 2 +13 +14.8 19
8 Standard 13 4 5 4 -5 -12.4 17
9 RWD Molenbeek 14 4 4 6 -11 -14.4 16
10 Mechelen 11 4 3 4 +0 -2.8 15
11 Westerlo 13 3 3 7 -7 -5.8 12
12 St Truiden 11 2 5 4 -8 -6.1 11
13 Charleroi 14 2 5 7 -10 -8.3 11
14 Eupen 14 2 2 10 -20 -21.9 8
15 Kortrijk 13 2 2 9 -20 -7.2 8
16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12 1 2 9 -14 -6.0 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge Gent
Philip Zinckernagel ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
23′
1–0 Thiago
24′
H. Vetlesen 🔁
↦ C. Nielsen
28′
40′
🟥 Ismael Kandouss
2–0 Thiago
41′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 B. Lagae
↦ Núrio Fortuna
A. Nusa 🔁
↦ P. Zinckernagel
64′
J. Spileers 🔁
↦ J. Ordoñez
64′
85′
🔁 O. Gandelman
↦ T. Tissoudali
85′
🔁 G. Orban
↦ H. Cuypers
Ferran Jutglà 🔁
↦ Thiago
86′
É. Balanta 🔁
↦ R. Onyedika
86′
92′
🔁 N. Fadiga
↦ Hong Hyun-Seok
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
55 M. De Cuyper D
4 J. Ordoñez D
44 B. Mechele D
14 B. Meijer D
27 C. Nielsen M
15 R. Onyedika M
7 A. Skov Olsen M
20 H. Vanaken M
77 P. Zinckernagel M
99 Thiago F
Bench (7)
10 H. Vetlesen
32 A. Nusa
58 J. Spileers
9 Ferran Jutglà
39 É. Balanta
29 N. Jackers
17 T. Buchanan

Coach: R. Deila

Gent

3-4-1-2
33 D. Roef G
5 I. Kandouss D
4 T. Watanabe D
25 Núrio Fortuna D
18 M. Samoise M
24 S. Kums M
13 J. De Sart M
19 M. Fofana M
7 Hong Hyun-Seok F
10 T. Tissoudali F
11 H. Cuypers F
Bench (7)
15 B. Lagae
6 O. Gandelman
20 G. Orban
22 N. Fadiga
8 P. Gerkens
30 C. De Schrevel
29 L. Depoitre

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,67
U
4,04
B
4,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,19
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.