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Pro League

Referee: W Smet

Anderlecht

U S S S S

2–3

Full-time

Dender

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Dender

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 43%

54%

31%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

54%

69%

Both score Ø 58%

46%

69%

Average goals

2,5

3,1

Scored

1,9

1,5

Conceded

0,6

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,89 xG 2,33

55% Possession 45%

13 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

3 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Anderlecht 3. · Dender 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	13	9	3	1	+20	+13.3	30
2	Antwerp	12	8	3	1	+19	+5.2	27
3	Anderlecht	13	7	5	1	+17	+9.5	26
4	Genk	12	8	2	2	+10	+14.3	26
5	Gent	14	7	4	3	+14	-0.0	25
6	Charleroi	12	6	2	4	+3	+3.3	20
7	St. Gilloise	12	4	6	2	+5	+7.6	18
8	Dender	13	4	5	4	-2	-3.7	17
9	Cercle Brugge	15	4	4	7	-12	-7.4	16
10	Mechelen	13	4	3	6	+0	-2.4	15
11	Standard	12	4	3	5	-9	-7.4	15
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	2	7	4	-2	+2.9	13
13	St Truiden	16	3	4	9	-19	-6.4	13
14	Westerlo	13	3	3	7	-3	-3.1	12
15	Kortrijk	16	3	1	12	-24	-11.7	10
16	Beerschot VA	15	1	5	9	-17	-14.1	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	7	6	1	0	+11	+8.1	19
2	Gent	7	5	1	1	+14	+3.4	16
3	Anderlecht	7	4	3	0	+9	+4.2	15
4	Club Brugge	5	4	1	0	+14	+9.6	13
5	Antwerp	6	4	1	1	+14	+5.5	13
6	Charleroi	6	4	1	1	+5	+4.8	13
7	Standard	6	4	1	1	+3	-2.0	13
8	St Truiden	9	3	4	2	-1	+0.4	13
9	St. Gilloise	5	4	0	1	+6	+8.5	12
10	Westerlo	7	3	2	2	+6	+7.4	11
11	Mechelen	7	3	2	2	+5	+0.9	11
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	2	5	1	+3	+3.5	11
13	Cercle Brugge	7	3	2	2	-2	-0.3	11
14	Kortrijk	8	3	0	5	-5	-1.3	9
15	Beerschot VA	7	1	4	2	-1	-4.7	7
16	Dender	5	1	2	2	+0	+0.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	8	5	2	1	+6	+3.7	17
2	Antwerp	6	4	2	0	+5	-0.3	14
3	Dender	8	3	3	2	-2	-4.3	12
4	Anderlecht	6	3	2	1	+8	+5.3	11
5	Gent	7	2	3	2	+0	-3.5	9
6	Genk	5	2	1	2	-1	+6.2	7
7	Charleroi	6	2	1	3	-2	-1.5	7
8	St. Gilloise	7	0	6	1	-1	-0.9	6
9	Cercle Brugge	8	1	2	5	-10	-7.0	5
10	Mechelen	6	1	1	4	-5	-3.4	4
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	0	2	3	-5	-0.5	2
12	Standard	6	0	2	4	-12	-5.4	2
13	Westerlo	6	0	1	5	-9	-10.5	1
14	Beerschot VA	8	0	1	7	-16	-9.4	1
15	Kortrijk	8	0	1	7	-19	-10.5	1
16	St Truiden	7	0	0	7	-18	-6.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.