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Pro League

Referee: L Visser

Kortrijk

T T S U T

0–3

Full-time

Dender

U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Dender

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 14/11 matches

Win Ø 24%

21%

27%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

71%

64%

Both score Ø 58%

43%

73%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,4

Conceded

2,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,72 xG 1,64

62% Possession 38%

14 Shots 7

1 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 2

2 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kortrijk 15. · Dender 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	12	8	3	1	+19	+12.5	27
2	Genk	12	8	2	2	+10	+14.3	26
3	Antwerp	11	7	3	1	+17	+5.2	24
4	Anderlecht	12	6	5	1	+15	+8.2	23
5	Gent	12	6	3	3	+13	-1.4	21
6	St. Gilloise	11	3	6	2	+3	+4.1	15
7	Mechelen	13	4	3	6	+0	-2.4	15
8	Standard	11	4	3	4	-8	-6.0	15
9	Charleroi	10	4	2	4	+1	+2.3	14
10	Dender	11	3	5	3	-3	-4.6	14
11	St Truiden	14	3	4	7	-16	-4.2	13
12	Westerlo	11	3	3	5	+0	+1.3	12
13	Cercle Brugge	13	3	3	7	-13	-7.8	12
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	1	7	3	-3	+2.3	10
15	Kortrijk	14	3	1	10	-20	-10.7	10
16	Beerschot VA	14	1	5	8	-15	-13.0	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	7	6	1	0	+11	+8.1	19
2	Gent	6	5	0	1	+14	+3.4	15
3	Anderlecht	7	4	3	0	+9	+4.2	15
4	Antwerp	6	4	1	1	+14	+5.5	13
5	Standard	5	4	1	0	+4	-0.6	13
6	St Truiden	8	3	4	1	+1	+1.7	13
7	Westerlo	7	3	2	2	+6	+7.4	11
8	Mechelen	7	3	2	2	+5	+0.9	11
9	Club Brugge	4	3	1	0	+13	+8.8	10
10	Charleroi	5	3	1	1	+4	+3.9	10
11	St. Gilloise	4	3	0	1	+4	+5.0	9
12	Kortrijk	6	3	0	3	-1	-0.3	9
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	1	5	1	+1	+2.4	8
14	Cercle Brugge	6	2	2	2	-3	-0.8	8
15	Beerschot VA	7	1	4	2	-1	-4.7	7
16	Dender	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	8	5	2	1	+6	+3.7	17
2	Antwerp	5	3	2	0	+3	-0.3	11
3	Dender	7	2	3	2	-5	-5.2	9
4	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+6	+4.0	8
5	Genk	5	2	1	2	-1	+6.2	7
6	Gent	6	1	3	2	-1	-4.9	6
7	St. Gilloise	7	0	6	1	-1	-0.9	6
8	Charleroi	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.6	4
9	Mechelen	6	1	1	4	-5	-3.4	4
10	Cercle Brugge	7	1	1	5	-10	-7.0	4
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.1	2
12	Standard	6	0	2	4	-12	-5.4	2
13	Westerlo	4	0	1	3	-6	-6.2	1
14	Beerschot VA	7	0	1	6	-14	-8.3	1
15	Kortrijk	8	0	1	7	-19	-10.5	1
16	St Truiden	6	0	0	6	-17	-5.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.