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Pro League
Referee: K Van Damme
Antwerp
S U S S S
1–1
Full-time
Dender
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Dender
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
3,2
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,7
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 56%
78%
33%
Points per game
2,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
44%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
2,4
1,4
Conceded
0,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,9
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,65 xG 0,92
74% Possession 26%
27 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 5
12 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antwerp 1. · Dender 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Antwerp 9 7 1 1 +17 +4.1 22
2 Anderlecht 10 5 4 1 +14 +7.7 19
3 Genk 9 6 1 2 +6 +13.0 19
4 Club Brugge 9 5 3 1 +8 +6.8 18
5 Gent 10 5 2 3 +11 -1.5 17
6 Charleroi 9 4 2 3 +4 +3.3 14
7 St. Gilloise 9 3 4 2 +3 +5.9 13
8 Dender 9 3 4 2 +0 -1.4 13
9 St Truiden 11 3 3 5 -7 -2.1 12
10 Mechelen 9 3 2 4 +0 -1.0 11
11 Standard 9 3 2 4 -9 -5.7 11
12 Cercle Brugge 11 3 2 6 -12 -9.5 11
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9 1 5 3 -3 +2.1 8
14 Westerlo 9 2 2 5 -4 -1.6 8
15 Beerschot VA 11 1 4 6 -11 -11.7 7
16 Kortrijk 11 2 1 8 -17 -8.3 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Dender
3′
K. Fila 0–1
Andreas Verstraeten 🟨
6′
Vincent Janssen 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–1
A. Valencia 🔁
↦ K. Corbanie
46′
D. Odoi 🔁
↦ A. Verstraeten
46′
Ayrton Costa 🟨
54′
55′
🟨 Karol Fila
64′
🟨 Mohamed Berte
66′
🔁 J. Soladio
↦ A. Scheidler
C. Scott 🔁
↦ D. Praet
76′
77′
🔁 D. Sylla
↦ R. Květ
77′
🔁 R. Oratmangoen
↦ M. Berte
1–1 G. Kerk
80′
Gyrano Kerk ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
83′
84′
🔁 D. Acquah
↦ J. Pupe
94′
🟨 Bryan Goncalves
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-3-3
91 S. Lammens G
2 K. Corbanie D
33 Z. Van den Bosch D
5 A. Costa D
25 J. Bataille D
9 T. Chery M
75 A. Verstraeten M
8 D. Praet M
7 G. Kerk F
18 V. Janssen F
11 J. Ondrejka F
Bench (9)
14 A. Valencia
6 D. Odoi
30 C. Scott
19 V. Udoh
46 M. Smits
26 R. Bozhinov
54 S. Renders
1 J. Butez
79 G. Vandeplas

Coach: J. De Roeck

Dender

3-5-2
34 M. Verrips G
22 G. Ruyssen D
21 K. Cools D
4 B. Goncalves D
5 K. Fila M
16 R. Květ M
18 N. Rôdes M
88 F. Ferraro M
3 J. Pupe M
90 M. Berte F
11 A. Scheidler F
Bench (9)
98 J. Soladio
53 D. Sylla
26 R. Oratmangoen
23 D. Acquah
20 D. Hrnčár
10 L. Hens
13 J. Devriendt
7 R. M'Barki
19 A. Akman

Coach: V. Euvrard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,47
U ✓
4,47
B
6,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Van Damme · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.