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Pro League
Referee: Simon Bourdeaud'hui
St Truiden
S T T T U
2–0
Full-time
Anderlecht
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
1,5
5,0
Scored
0,5
3,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 48%
57%
39%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
48%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,29 xG 0,98
54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 19
7 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 3. · Anderlecht 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 24 19 1 4 +27 +13.9 58
2 St. Gilloise 24 16 8 0 +29 +23.6 56
3 St Truiden 23 13 3 7 +10 +15.2 42
4 Gent 23 11 5 7 +6 +2.3 38
5 Mechelen 24 10 8 6 +4 -9.8 38
6 Genk 23 10 7 6 +6 +8.7 37
7 Cercle Brugge 27 9 7 11 +1 +2.5 34
8 Anderlecht 23 9 6 8 +4 +2.6 33
9 Antwerp 24 9 5 10 +3 -2.8 32
10 Westerlo 24 8 7 9 -3 +1.4 31
11 Waregem 27 9 4 14 -7 -5.9 31
12 Standard 24 8 5 11 -12 -10.4 29
13 Charleroi 24 6 5 13 -8 -4.2 23
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 24 5 7 12 -15 -8.5 22
15 RAAL La Louviere 27 4 10 13 -15 -9.7 22
16 Dender 27 3 6 18 -30 -19.1 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Anderlecht
9′
🟨 Nathan-Dylan Saliba
Half-time 0–0
66′
🟨 Moussa Diarra
S. Jukleroed 🔁
↦ J. Pupe
66′
70′
🔁 T. Hazard
↦ Y. Verschaeren
70′
🔁 I. Camara
↦ A. Maamar
R. Merlen 🔁
↦ R. Yamamoto
71′
1–0 K. Goto
R. Ito
75′
80′
🔁 C. da Costa
↦ A. Bertaccini
L. Mbe Soh 🔁
↦ K. Goto
85′
O. Diouf 🔁
↦ K. Matsuzawa
85′
85′
🔁 K. Nga
↦ E. Llansana
2–0 R. Merlen
I. Sebaoui
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

St Truiden

4-2-3-1
16 L. Kokubo G
60 R. Vanwesemael D
5 S. Taniguchi D
26 V. Musliu D
23 J. Pupe D
6 R. Yamamoto M
8 A. Sissako M
10 I. Sebaoui M
13 R. Ito M
38 K. Matsuzawa M
42 K. Goto F
Bench (9)
21 M. Lendfers
18 S. Jukleroed
22 W. Janssens
11 I. Delpupo
33 A. Diriken
14 R. Merlen
99 S. Shinkawa
4 L. Mbe Soh
77 O. Diouf

Coach: Wouter Vrancken

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
26 C. Coosemans G
79 A. Maamar D
54 K. Sardella D
93 M. Diarra D
6 L. Augustinsson D
13 N. Saliba M
24 E. Llansana M
9 M. Cvetkovic
10 Y. Verschaeren M
83 T. Degreef M
91 A. Bertaccini F
Bench (9)
32 J. Heekeren
11 T. Hazard
4 M. Angely
77 C. da Costa
61 K. Nga
23 M. Rits
55 M. Kana
3 L. Hey
7 I. Camara

Coach: Jeremy Taravel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,09
U
3,58
B
3,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,58
U2,5 ✓
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Simon Bourdeaud'hui · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.