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Pro League
Referee: B Put
Anderlecht
T S S U S
3–1
Full-time
St Truiden
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 42%
44%
40%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
48%
40%
Both score Ø 46%
48%
44%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

73% Possession 27%
24 Shots 3
9 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
3 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 6. · St Truiden 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 22 19 2 1 +42 59
2 St. Gilloise 21 17 3 1 +28 54
3 Antwerp 20 14 3 3 +22 45
4 Club Brugge 20 11 5 4 +16 38
5 St Truiden 25 10 8 7 +1 38
6 Anderlecht 25 11 4 10 +9 37
7 Charleroi 26 11 4 11 +0 37
8 Gent 20 11 3 6 +16 36
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 27 9 8 10 +6 35
10 Cercle Brugge 20 8 7 5 +4 31
11 Standard 20 9 3 8 +1 30
12 Kortrijk 26 8 4 14 -17 28
13 Eupen 27 8 4 15 -18 28
14 Westerlo 21 7 6 8 +1 27
15 Mechelen 25 7 5 13 -12 26
16 Waregem 25 6 5 14 -20 23
17 Oostende 26 5 4 17 -29 19
18 Seraing 25 5 3 17 -25 18
19 Seraing United 25 5 3 17 -25 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht St Truiden
Majeed Ashimeru 🟨
35′
44′
🟨 Robert Bauer
Half-time 0–0
65′
🔁 O. Dumont
↦ F. Boya
65′
🔁 G. Bruno
↦ D. Hayashi
1–0 B. Raman
66′
I. Slimani 🔁
↦ B. Raman
77′
A. Diawara 🔁
↦ M. Ashimeru
77′
2–0 I. Slimani
F. Amuzu
81′
3–0 A. Dreyer
83′
88′
G. Bruno 3–1
T. Hara
K. Arnstad 🔁
↦ F. Amuzu
89′
T. Leoni 🔁
↦ Y. Verschaeren
89′
89′
🔁 E. Bocat
↦ A. Koita
89′
🔁 M. Konaté
↦ S. Okazaki
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-3-3
16 B. Verbruggen G
62 A. Murillo D
56 Z. Debast D
14 J. Vertonghen D
54 K. Sardella D
10 Y. Verschaeren M
18 M. Ashimeru M
11 L. Refaelov M
36 A. Dreyer F
9 B. Raman F
7 F. Amuzu F
Bench (7)
13 I. Slimani
21 A. Diawara
61 K. Arnstad
71 T. Leoni
29 M. Stroeykens
5 M. N'Diaye
30 H. Van Crombrugge

Coach: B. Riemer

St Truiden

5-3-2
21 D. Schmidt G
4 D. Hashioka D
20 R. Bauer D
26 Jorge Teixeira D
22 W. Janssens D
7 A. Koita D
30 S. Okazaki M
27 F. Boya M
13 R. Reitz M
8 D. Hayashi F
9 T. Hara F
Bench (7)
14 O. Dumont
91 G. Bruno
77 E. Bocat
6 M. Konaté
16 M. Smets
12 J. Coppens
11 F. Kaya

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,86
U
3,51
B
4,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,08
U2,5
1,73
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.