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Pro League

Referee: K Dhondt

Genk

S U S T S

1–0

Full-time

St Truiden

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

2,3

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 17/19 matches

Win Ø 55%

41%

68%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

71%

53%

Both score Ø 68%

82%

53%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

1,7

1,6

Conceded

1,5

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,25 xG 0,43

36% Possession 64%

13 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 8

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 8. · St Truiden 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	20	16	1	3	+20	+9.0	49
2	St. Gilloise	20	13	7	0	+26	+19.5	46
3	St Truiden	19	13	2	4	+13	+16.5	41
4	Mechelen	20	10	7	3	+11	-4.3	37
5	Gent	18	10	2	6	+6	+1.8	32
6	Anderlecht	19	7	6	6	+4	+4.5	27
7	Antwerp	20	7	5	8	+2	-2.8	26
8	Genk	17	7	4	6	+3	+3.2	25
9	Cercle Brugge	23	6	6	11	-6	-1.6	24
10	Standard	20	6	5	9	-13	-9.8	23
11	Westerlo	20	5	7	8	-7	+0.2	22
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	20	5	6	9	-9	-4.8	21
13	RAAL La Louviere	23	4	9	10	-9	-8.6	21
14	Waregem	23	6	3	14	-11	-7.3	21
15	Charleroi	19	5	4	10	-5	-3.4	19
16	Dender	23	2	6	15	-25	-12.0	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	10	0	0	+21	+11.7	30
2	Club Brugge	10	7	1	2	+8	+3.0	22
3	St Truiden	10	7	0	3	+2	+7.4	21
4	Gent	9	6	0	3	+8	+1.1	18
5	Mechelen	10	4	4	2	+3	-0.5	16
6	Antwerp	10	4	3	3	+2	+0.5	15
7	Genk	9	4	2	3	+3	+5.8	14
8	Anderlecht	9	3	4	2	+6	+6.6	13
9	Waregem	11	4	1	6	-2	-0.7	13
10	Westerlo	10	3	3	4	-1	+2.2	12
11	RAAL La Louviere	11	2	5	4	-4	-3.7	11
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	2	4	4	+0	-0.3	10
13	Charleroi	10	2	3	5	-3	-2.4	9
14	Standard	10	1	5	4	-7	-2.6	8
15	Cercle Brugge	12	1	3	8	-10	-2.0	6
16	Dender	11	1	2	8	-14	-4.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	10	9	0	1	+12	+6.0	27
2	Mechelen	10	6	3	1	+8	-3.8	21
3	St Truiden	9	6	2	1	+11	+9.1	20
4	Cercle Brugge	11	5	3	3	+4	+0.3	18
5	St. Gilloise	10	3	7	0	+5	+7.8	16
6	Standard	10	5	0	5	-6	-7.2	15
7	Gent	9	4	2	3	-2	+0.7	14
8	Anderlecht	10	4	2	4	-2	-2.1	14
9	Genk	8	3	2	3	+0	-2.6	11
10	Antwerp	10	3	2	5	+0	-3.4	11
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	3	2	5	-9	-4.5	11
12	Charleroi	9	3	1	5	-2	-0.9	10
13	RAAL La Louviere	12	2	4	6	-5	-4.9	10
14	Westerlo	10	2	4	4	-6	-2.0	10
15	Waregem	12	2	2	8	-9	-6.6	8
16	Dender	12	1	4	7	-11	-7.5	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.