Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Valerenga
Start
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosenborg
|
24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | +38 | 55 |
| 2 |
Stabaek
|
24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | +15 | 47 |
| 3 |
Viking
|
24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | +17 | 44 |
| 4 |
Odd
|
24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | +14 | 44 |
| 5 |
Stromsgodset
|
24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | +14 | 43 |
| 6 |
Valerenga
|
24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | +5 | 39 |
| 7 |
Molde
|
24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 37 |
| 8 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | -1 | 35 |
| 9 |
Lillestrom
|
24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 |
Haugesund
|
24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -14 | 28 |
| 11 |
Aalesund
|
24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | -18 | 28 |
| 12 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | -5 | 27 |
| 13 |
Start
|
24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -18 | 20 |
| 14 |
Mjondalen
|
24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -20 | 20 |
| 15 |
Tromso
|
24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -14 | 19 |
| 16 |
Sandefjord
|
24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -30 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Mjondalen
Valerenga
Valerenga
Viking
Aalesund
Valerenga
Valerenga
Molde
Rosenborg
Valerenga
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.