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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Clos Gomez

Valencia

U U S U T

1–0

Full-time

Granada

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Granada

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

1,2

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

80%

Both score Ø 40%

20%

60%

Average goals

0,8

3,0

Scored

0,4

0,8

Conceded

0,4

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,4

This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

1,2

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

80%

Both score Ø 40%

20%

60%

Average goals

0,8

3,0

Scored

0,4

0,8

Conceded

0,4

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 10. · Granada 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+13	13
2	Celta	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Villarreal	5	4	1	0	+7	13
4	Ath Madrid	5	4	0	1	+7	12
5	Barcelona	5	4	0	1	+3	12
6	Espanol	5	3	0	2	-5	9
7	La Coruna	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Eibar	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Vallecano	5	2	1	2	-3	7
10	Valencia	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Sociedad	5	1	2	2	+1	5
12	Las Palmas	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	Sp Gijon	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Betis	5	1	2	2	-5	5
15	Ath Bilbao	5	1	0	4	-4	3
16	Levante	5	0	3	2	-4	3
17	Getafe	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Granada	5	1	0	4	-7	3
19	Malaga	5	0	2	3	-3	2
20	Sevilla	5	0	2	3	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celta	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Ath Madrid	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Espanol	3	2	0	1	-4	6
7	Las Palmas	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Betis	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Getafe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Levante	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Malaga	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	La Coruna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Sp Gijon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Sevilla	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Granada	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+7	7
2	La Coruna	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Celta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Barcelona	3	2	0	1	-1	6
7	Eibar	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Sp Gijon	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Granada	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Espanol	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Sevilla	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Las Palmas	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Levante	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Betis	2	0	1	1	-5	1
18	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Getafe	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.