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Championship

Referee: Kevin Friend

Fulham

T U S S T

4–0

Full-time

QPR

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham QPR

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — Championship · 7/8 matches

Win Ø 34%

29%

38%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

71%

63%

Both score Ø 88%

100%

75%

Average goals

3,1

3,4

Scored

1,6

1,8

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

50% Possession 50%

13 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fulham 16. · QPR 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	8	6	2	0	+6	20
2	Middlesbrough	8	5	2	1	+9	17
3	Burnley	8	4	3	1	+3	15
4	Hull	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Ipswich	8	4	2	2	+0	14
6	Reading	8	3	3	2	+6	12
7	Birmingham	7	3	3	1	+4	12
8	Cardiff	8	3	3	2	+2	12
9	QPR	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Nott'm Forest	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Leeds	8	2	5	1	+1	11
12	Derby	8	2	5	1	+1	11
13	Huddersfield	9	2	4	3	-1	10
14	Sheffield Weds	8	2	3	3	-2	9
15	Charlton	8	2	3	3	-2	9
16	Fulham	7	2	2	3	+0	8
17	Brentford	7	2	2	3	-2	8
18	Wolves	7	2	2	3	-2	8
19	Blackburn	8	1	4	3	+0	7
20	Milton Keynes Dons	8	2	1	5	-3	7
21	Bolton	8	1	4	3	-6	7
22	Preston	8	1	3	4	-4	6
23	Rotherham	8	1	2	5	-8	5
24	Bristol City	8	1	2	5	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	4	4	0	0	+4	12
2	Hull	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Burnley	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Middlesbrough	4	3	0	1	+6	9
5	Birmingham	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Ipswich	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Charlton	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Cardiff	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Sheffield Weds	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Huddersfield	5	1	3	1	+2	6
11	Bolton	4	1	3	0	+1	6
12	Reading	4	1	2	1	+3	5
13	Blackburn	4	1	2	1	+2	5
14	QPR	4	1	2	1	+1	5
15	Wolves	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Fulham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Brentford	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Nott'm Forest	4	1	1	2	-1	4
19	Rotherham	4	1	1	2	-4	4
20	Leeds	4	0	3	1	-1	3
21	Derby	4	0	3	1	-1	3
22	Milton Keynes Dons	4	1	0	3	-3	3
23	Preston	4	0	2	2	-2	2
24	Bristol City	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Brighton	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Leeds	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Derby	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Nott'm Forest	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Reading	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	QPR	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	Ipswich	4	2	1	1	-2	7
9	Birmingham	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Cardiff	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Burnley	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Fulham	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Milton Keynes Dons	4	1	1	2	+0	4
14	Hull	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Brentford	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Preston	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Bristol City	4	1	1	2	-3	4
18	Huddersfield	4	1	1	2	-3	4
19	Wolves	3	1	0	2	-2	3
20	Blackburn	4	0	2	2	-2	2
21	Sheffield Weds	4	0	2	2	-3	2
22	Charlton	4	0	2	2	-4	2
23	Rotherham	4	0	1	3	-4	1
24	Bolton	4	0	1	3	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.