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Eliteserien
Referee: Trygve Kjensli
Molde
S S T S U
4–2
Full-time
Stromsgodset
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 56%
56%
56%
Points per game
2,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
67%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
67%
44%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

38% Possession 62%
16 Shots 14
9 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 3. · Stromsgodset 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 9 7 1 1 +13 22
2 Odd 9 6 2 1 +7 20
3 Molde 9 5 3 1 +5 18
4 Stromsgodset 9 5 2 2 +5 17
5 Brann 9 5 2 2 +2 17
6 Viking 9 5 1 3 +0 16
7 Haugesund 9 4 2 3 +3 14
8 Lillestrom 9 3 4 2 +4 13
9 Sarpsborg 08 9 3 3 3 +1 12
10 Sogndal 9 3 2 4 -1 11
11 Valerenga 9 3 0 6 -3 9
12 Tromso 9 2 3 4 -10 9
13 Aalesund 9 2 1 6 -3 7
14 Bodo/Glimt 9 2 1 6 -4 7
15 Stabaek 9 1 1 7 -9 4
16 Start 9 0 4 5 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Stromsgodset
1–0 F. Gulbrandsen
E. Hestad
7′
14′
🔁 F. Kastrati
↦ M. Hamoud
2–0 M. Elyounoussi
H. Singh
22′
3–0 M. Elyounoussi
F. Gulbrandsen
25′
Eirik Hestad 🟨
44′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 P. Moen
↦ B. Adjei-Boateng
49′
🟨 Petter Vaagan Moen
50′
🟨 Tokmac Chol Nguen
T. Amang 🔁
↦ F. Gulbrandsen
61′
E. Guðjohnsen 🔁
↦ E. Hestad
61′
62′
P. Moen 3–1
F. Kastrati
4–1 T. Amang
63′
Agnaldo Moraes 🔁
↦ M. Elyounoussi
77′
81′
F. Kastrati 4–2
Francisco Junior
85′
🔁 T. Høiland
↦ T. Nguen
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Molde

26 A. Linde G
23 K. Rindarøy D
25 V. Forren D
15 P. Flo D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
14 P. Strand M
7 H. Singh M
24 M. Elyounoussi M
19 E. Hestad M
8 F. Gulbrandsen F
11 S. Svendsen F
Bench (7)
20 T. Amang
22 E. Guðjohnsen
21 Agnaldo Moraes
5 J. Toivio
17 F. Aursnes
30 P. Diouf
34 Neydson

Stromsgodset

1 E. Pettersen G
3 J. Parr D
2 M. Hamoud M
71 G. Valsvik D
26 L. Vilsvik D
28 M. Høibråten D
20 M. Abu M
93 T. Nguen M
19 Francisco Junior M
22 B. Adjei-Boateng M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
Bench (7)
15 F. Kastrati
8 P. Moen
7 T. Høiland
17 C. Lindquist
18 H. Bredeli
30 Ł. Jarosiński
46 S. Johansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Trygve Kjensli · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.