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Eliteserien

Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen

Molde

S U S S T

1–0

Full-time

Aalesund

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Aalesund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — Eliteserien · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

57%

29%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

71%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

71%

43%

Average goals

3,4

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

27 Shots 9

11 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 9

3 Corners 3

2 Offside 5

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 3. · Aalesund 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	7	6	0	1	+11	18
2	Odd	7	4	2	1	+5	14
3	Molde	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	Brann	7	4	2	1	+2	14
5	Lillestrom	8	3	4	1	+6	13
6	Haugesund	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	Stromsgodset	7	4	1	2	+3	13
8	Viking	7	3	1	3	-3	10
9	Sarpsborg 08	7	2	3	2	+2	9
10	Aalesund	7	2	1	4	+1	7
11	Bodo/Glimt	7	2	1	4	-1	7
12	Sogndal	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Valerenga	8	2	0	6	-6	6
14	Tromso	7	1	3	3	-9	6
15	Stabaek	7	1	1	5	-6	4
16	Start	7	0	3	4	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Stromsgodset	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Lillestrom	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Molde	3	2	1	0	+6	7
5	Haugesund	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Odd	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Aalesund	4	2	0	2	+5	6
9	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	0	2	+2	6
10	Valerenga	4	2	0	2	+2	6
11	Sogndal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	2	1	+3	5
13	Tromso	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Stabaek	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Start	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Viking	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viking	4	3	0	1	+0	9
2	Odd	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Brann	4	2	1	1	-1	7
4	Molde	4	2	1	1	-2	7
5	Rosenborg	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Haugesund	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Lillestrom	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Stromsgodset	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	Tromso	4	0	2	2	-10	2
11	Bodo/Glimt	3	0	1	2	-3	1
12	Aalesund	3	0	1	2	-4	1
13	Stabaek	4	0	1	3	-5	1
14	Sogndal	4	0	1	3	-5	1
15	Start	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	Valerenga	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.