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Eliteserien
Referee: Ken Henry Johnsen
Sarpsborg 08
U U T U S
4–0
Full-time
Molde
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
This season — Eliteserien · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

32% Possession 68%
12 Shots 21
6 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 5
9 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 13
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 11. · Molde 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 6 5 0 1 +7 15
2 Molde 6 4 2 0 +8 14
3 Odd 6 4 2 0 +7 14
4 Brann 7 4 2 1 +2 14
5 Stromsgodset 7 4 1 2 +3 13
6 Haugesund 6 3 1 2 +2 10
7 Viking 6 3 1 2 +1 10
8 Lillestrom 6 1 4 1 +2 7
9 Bodo/Glimt 7 2 1 4 -1 7
10 Sogndal 7 2 1 4 -4 7
11 Sarpsborg 08 6 1 3 2 -2 6
12 Tromso 6 1 3 2 -3 6
13 Stabaek 6 1 1 4 -4 4
14 Aalesund 6 1 1 4 -5 4
15 Valerenga 6 1 0 5 -6 3
16 Start 6 0 3 3 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Molde
1–0 P. Kirkevold
1′
25′
🔁 E. Guðjohnsen
↦ M. Bakenga
1–1 H. Singh
own goal
25′
Anders Trondsen 🟨
37′
38′
🟨 Mohamed Elyounoussi
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Svendsen
↦ I. Ssewankambo
2–1 P. Kirkevold
54′
A. Groven 🔁
↦ K. Jónsson
62′
67′
🔁 T. Amang
↦ E. Guðjohnsen
P. Mortensen 🔁
↦ P. Kirkevold
83′
S. Ernemann 🔁
↦ K. Tokstad
84′
Alexander Groven 🟨
87′
3–1 T. Hovda
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

21 A. Kristiansen
19 K. Jónsson D
13 O. Hansen D
16 J. Thomassen D
15 S. Rosted D
5 M. Lund Nielsen M
18 T. Hovda M
11 K. Tokstad M
22 J. Tveita D
6 A. Trondsen M
7 P. Kirkevold F
Bench (7)
29 A. Groven
69 P. Mortensen
17 S. Ernemann
1 A. Østbø
4 K. Berge
8 O. Ugwuadu
23 J. Glesnes

Molde

1 E. Horvath G
15 P. Flo D
5 J. Toivio D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
32 I. Ssewankambo M
14 P. Strand M
7 H. Singh M
24 M. Elyounoussi M
19 E. Hestad M
17 F. Aursnes M
27 M. Bakenga F
Bench (6)
22 E. Guðjohnsen
11 S. Svendsen
20 T. Amang
21 Agnaldo Moraes
23 K. Rindarøy
26 A. Linde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ken Henry Johnsen · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.