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Pro League

Referee: Lothar D'hondt

Dender

T T S T T

0–0

Full-time

Lommel United

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender Lommel United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 31/5 matches

Win Ø 57%

13%

100%

Points per game

0,6

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 81%

61%

100%

Both score Ø 74%

68%

80%

Average goals

2,9

3,8

Scored

0,9

2,8

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

18 Shots 4

4 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 2

4 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	29	23	2	4	+38	+22.3	71
2	St. Gilloise	29	18	9	2	+28	+22.7	63
3	St Truiden	29	16	4	9	+12	+14.0	52
4	Genk	28	11	10	7	+7	+12.8	43
5	Mechelen	29	11	10	8	-1	-13.2	43
6	Gent	28	11	8	9	+3	+2.9	41
7	Waregem	30	12	4	14	-1	-4.9	40
8	Standard	29	11	7	11	-5	-10.3	40
9	Anderlecht	29	10	8	11	+0	-0.8	38
10	Cercle Brugge	30	10	7	13	-2	+3.7	37
11	Antwerp	29	10	6	13	-4	-2.1	36
12	Westerlo	29	9	8	12	-8	-2.3	35
13	Charleroi	29	9	6	14	-4	-3.5	33
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	29	6	9	14	-15	-10.3	27
15	RAAL La Louviere	30	5	10	15	-17	-10.8	25
16	Dender	31	4	6	21	-32	-20.1	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	14	13	1	0	+26	+15.5	40
2	Club Brugge	14	11	1	2	+22	+10.9	34
3	St Truiden	14	9	1	4	+4	+9.3	28
4	Genk	15	6	6	3	+7	+11.2	24
5	Waregem	15	7	2	6	+4	+1.3	23
6	Gent	14	6	4	4	+6	+0.8	22
7	Anderlecht	15	5	5	5	+5	+4.7	20
8	Mechelen	15	5	5	5	-1	-4.0	20
9	Antwerp	14	5	3	6	-3	+1.2	18
10	Charleroi	15	4	4	7	-2	+0.2	16
11	Westerlo	15	4	4	7	-3	-2.5	16
12	RAAL La Louviere	15	3	6	6	-4	-2.5	15
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	3	4	7	-3	-3.0	13
14	Cercle Brugge	15	3	3	9	-7	+1.4	12
15	Standard	14	2	6	6	-8	-3.9	12
16	Dender	15	2	2	11	-19	-10.1	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	15	12	1	2	+16	+11.4	37
2	Standard	15	9	1	5	+3	-6.3	28
3	Cercle Brugge	15	7	4	4	+5	+2.2	25
4	St Truiden	15	7	3	5	+8	+4.8	24
5	St. Gilloise	15	5	8	2	+2	+7.2	23
6	Mechelen	14	6	5	3	+0	-9.2	23
7	Genk	13	5	4	4	+0	+1.6	19
8	Gent	14	5	4	5	-3	+2.0	19
9	Westerlo	14	5	4	5	-5	+0.2	19
10	Antwerp	15	5	3	7	-1	-3.4	18
11	Anderlecht	14	5	3	6	-5	-5.5	18
12	Charleroi	14	5	2	7	-2	-3.7	17
13	Waregem	15	5	2	8	-5	-6.2	17
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	3	5	7	-12	-7.4	14
15	Dender	16	2	4	10	-13	-10.0	10
16	RAAL La Louviere	15	2	4	9	-13	-8.3	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.