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Allsvenskan

Referee: Niclas Karlsson

Kalmar

U S T S T

2–1

Full-time

Degerfors

S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalmar Degerfors

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

0,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

38%

50%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

63%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 21

7 Shots on target 10

2 Blocked shots 6

9 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 8

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kalmar 13. · Degerfors 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	8	7	1	0	+13	+7.7	22
2	Hammarby	9	5	2	2	+13	+6.9	17
3	Hacken	8	4	4	0	+5	+3.3	16
4	Elfsborg	9	4	4	1	+5	+1.8	16
5	Mjallby	9	4	2	3	+3	-1.9	14
6	Brommapojkarna	9	4	2	3	-1	-1.1	14
7	Djurgarden	9	4	1	4	+6	+3.3	13
8	GAIS	9	3	3	3	+3	+1.1	12
9	Malmo FF	8	3	1	4	-2	-2.2	10
10	AIK	8	2	3	3	-2	-3.7	9
11	Degerfors	8	2	3	3	-3	-2.1	9
12	Vasteras SK	8	2	3	3	-5	-5.2	9
13	Kalmar	8	2	1	5	-2	+2.6	7
14	Goteborg	8	1	3	4	-10	-1.0	6
15	Orgryte	8	1	2	5	-13	-5.9	5
16	Halmstad	8	0	3	5	-10	-3.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	5	4	1	0	+16	+7.0	13
2	Sirius	4	4	0	0	+8	+5.9	12
3	Elfsborg	5	3	2	0	+5	+1.4	11
4	GAIS	5	2	2	1	+5	+0.5	8
5	Hacken	4	2	2	0	+2	+2.3	8
6	Djurgarden	6	2	1	3	+4	+1.2	7
7	Kalmar	4	2	1	1	+2	+1.1	7
8	Mjallby	4	2	0	2	+2	-1.1	6
9	AIK	4	2	0	2	-1	-2.1	6
10	Brommapojkarna	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.8	4
11	Degerfors	5	1	1	3	-6	-2.4	4
12	Malmo FF	3	1	0	2	+0	+1.3	3
13	Vasteras SK	4	0	3	1	-1	-0.3	3
14	Orgryte	4	0	2	2	-2	-0.4	2
15	Halmstad	4	0	2	2	-5	-2.2	2
16	Goteborg	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
2	Brommapojkarna	6	3	1	2	-1	+0.7	10
3	Hacken	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.0	8
4	Mjallby	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.8	8
5	Malmo FF	5	2	1	2	-2	-3.5	7
6	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.1	6
7	Vasteras SK	4	2	0	2	-4	-4.9	6
8	Degerfors	3	1	2	0	+3	+0.3	5
9	Elfsborg	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.4	5
10	Goteborg	5	1	2	2	-7	-1.0	5
11	GAIS	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.6	4
12	Hammarby	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.1	4
13	AIK	4	0	3	1	-1	-1.5	3
14	Orgryte	4	1	0	3	-11	-5.5	3
15	Halmstad	4	0	1	3	-5	-1.1	1
16	Kalmar	4	0	0	4	-4	+1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.