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Pro League

Referee: B Put

Waregem

U S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Dender

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Dender

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 26%

38%

14%

Points per game

1,3

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

55%

59%

Both score Ø 63%

59%

66%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

1,5

0,9

Conceded

1,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,69 xG 2,10

52% Possession 48%

19 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 2

4 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waregem 8. · Dender 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	26	21	1	4	+31	+17.9	64
2	St. Gilloise	26	17	8	1	+30	+21.4	59
3	St Truiden	26	16	3	7	+16	+16.8	51
4	Mechelen	26	11	8	7	+2	-10.2	41
5	Genk	25	10	8	7	+4	+10.3	38
6	Gent	25	11	5	9	+3	+1.6	38
7	Cercle Brugge	29	10	7	12	+1	+3.7	37
8	Waregem	29	11	4	14	-2	-5.5	37
9	Standard	27	10	6	11	-6	-10.4	36
10	Antwerp	26	10	5	11	+0	-1.2	35
11	Anderlecht	26	9	6	11	-2	+0.4	33
12	Westerlo	26	8	8	10	-5	-1.8	32
13	Charleroi	26	8	5	13	-4	-3.0	29
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	27	5	8	14	-18	-9.6	23
15	RAAL La Louviere	29	4	10	15	-20	-10.8	22
16	Dender	29	4	6	19	-30	-19.5	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	12	1	0	+23	+13.4	37
2	Club Brugge	12	9	1	2	+15	+7.5	28
3	St Truiden	13	9	0	4	+4	+8.7	27
4	Gent	12	6	2	4	+6	-1.0	20
5	Genk	13	5	5	3	+4	+9.8	20
6	Waregem	14	6	2	6	+3	+0.7	20
7	Mechelen	14	5	4	5	-1	-3.1	19
8	Antwerp	13	5	3	5	-2	-0.1	18
9	Anderlecht	13	4	4	5	+3	+4.4	16
10	Westerlo	14	4	4	6	-2	-1.3	16
11	Charleroi	13	4	3	6	-1	-0.6	15
12	Cercle Brugge	15	3	3	9	-7	+1.4	12
13	RAAL La Louviere	14	2	6	6	-7	-2.5	12
14	Standard	13	2	5	6	-8	-2.9	11
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	2	4	7	-6	-3.2	10
16	Dender	15	2	2	11	-19	-10.1	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	14	12	0	2	+16	+10.4	36
2	Cercle Brugge	14	7	4	3	+8	+2.2	25
3	Standard	14	8	1	5	+2	-7.6	25
4	St Truiden	13	7	3	3	+12	+8.0	24
5	St. Gilloise	13	5	7	1	+7	+8.1	22
6	Mechelen	12	6	4	2	+3	-7.2	22
7	Genk	12	5	3	4	+0	+0.6	18
8	Gent	13	5	3	5	-3	+2.6	18
9	Antwerp	13	5	2	6	+2	-1.1	17
10	Waregem	15	5	2	8	-5	-6.2	17
11	Anderlecht	13	5	2	6	-5	-3.9	17
12	Westerlo	12	4	4	4	-3	-0.5	16
13	Charleroi	13	4	2	7	-3	-2.4	14
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	3	4	7	-12	-6.3	13
15	Dender	14	2	4	8	-11	-9.4	10
16	RAAL La Louviere	15	2	4	9	-13	-8.3	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.