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Eliteserien

Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen

Stromsgodset

S U S T S

3–2

Full-time

Valerenga

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,3

This season — Eliteserien · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 41%

55%

27%

Points per game

1,8

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

55%

36%

Both score Ø 27%

45%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,8

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

69% Possession 31%

22 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 4. · Valerenga 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	11	9	1	1	+16	28
2	Molde	12	7	3	2	+7	24
3	Odd	12	7	3	2	+7	24
4	Stromsgodset	11	6	2	3	+7	20
5	Haugesund	11	6	2	3	+6	20
6	Brann	12	6	2	4	+0	20
7	Viking	11	5	2	4	-1	17
8	Lillestrom	11	4	4	3	+4	16
9	Sarpsborg 08	12	4	4	4	-2	16
10	Sogndal	11	3	4	4	-1	13
11	Tromso	12	3	4	5	-8	13
12	Aalesund	12	3	2	7	-3	11
13	Bodo/Glimt	12	3	2	7	-4	11
14	Valerenga	11	3	1	7	-4	10
15	Stabaek	12	2	1	9	-12	7
16	Start	11	0	5	6	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	6	6	0	0	+12	18
2	Molde	6	5	1	0	+11	16
3	Stromsgodset	6	5	1	0	+11	16
4	Odd	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Brann	5	4	1	0	+5	13
6	Haugesund	5	3	2	0	+7	11
7	Lillestrom	5	3	2	0	+7	11
8	Valerenga	6	3	0	3	+4	9
9	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	3	1	+4	9
10	Sogndal	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Viking	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Aalesund	6	2	1	3	+2	7
13	Tromso	5	2	1	2	+1	7
14	Bodo/Glimt	7	2	1	4	-1	7
15	Stabaek	6	2	0	4	-4	6
16	Start	6	0	3	3	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odd	6	3	2	1	+2	11
2	Rosenborg	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Haugesund	6	3	0	3	-1	9
4	Viking	5	3	0	2	-1	9
5	Molde	6	2	2	2	-4	8
6	Brann	7	2	1	4	-5	7
7	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	1	3	-6	7
8	Tromso	7	1	3	3	-9	6
9	Sogndal	6	1	2	3	-2	5
10	Lillestrom	6	1	2	3	-3	5
11	Bodo/Glimt	5	1	1	3	-3	4
12	Stromsgodset	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Aalesund	6	1	1	4	-5	4
14	Start	5	0	2	3	-6	2
15	Stabaek	6	0	1	5	-8	1
16	Valerenga	5	0	1	4	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.