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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Gent
S T T T S
0–0
Full-time
Genk
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
4,2
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 29/27 matches
Win Ø 56%
55%
56%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
48%
63%
Both score Ø 56%
55%
56%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gent 2. · Genk 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 29 23 1 5 +53 70
2 Gent 29 16 7 6 +19 55
3 Anderlecht 29 16 7 6 +11 55
4 Genk 27 15 3 9 +17 48
5 Oostende 29 14 6 9 +9 48
6 Charleroi 28 12 7 9 +8 43
7 Standard 30 13 3 14 -10 42
8 Kortrijk 30 10 9 11 -1 39
9 Mechelen 30 10 7 13 -11 37
10 Waregem 29 10 6 13 -3 36
11 Lokeren 30 9 8 13 -3 35
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 9 14 -12 30
13 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
15 St Truiden 30 8 5 17 -18 29
16 Beveren 30 8 5 17 -24 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Apr -16 Genk – Gent 1–2

Match report

Gent Genk
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 N. Karelis
↦ M. Samatta
61′
🔁 I. de Camargo
↦ N. Kebano
M. Boussoufa 🔁
↦ D. Miličević
78′
R. Schoofs 🔁
↦ M. Simon
92′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Gent

1 M. Sels
21 N. Asare
55 R. Gershon
23 L. Nielsen
77 D. Miličević
14 S. Kums
10 Renato Neto
15 K. Saief
32 T. Foket
9 L. Depoitre
27 M. Simon
Bench (7)
6 M. Boussoufa
16 R. Schoofs
4 Rafinha
11 S. Diedhiou
13 S. Mitrović
17 H. Van der Bruggen
20 Y. Thoelen

Genk

1 M. Bizot
27 C. Kabasele
6 S. Dewaest
28 J. Uronen
40 S. Walsh
25 O. Ndidi
24 Pozuelo
92 N. Kebano
19 T. Buffel
77 M. Samatta
31 L. Bailey
Bench (7)
7 N. Karelis
35 I. de Camargo
4 B. Hamalainen
45 B. Kumordzi
15 D. Wouters
26 L. Köteles
71 Y. Buyens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.