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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Sogndal
U U U U S
4–3
Full-time
Molde
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
29%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
29%
57%
Both score Ø 47%
36%
57%
Average goals
1,9
3,3
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

39% Possession 61%
8 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sogndal 9. · Molde 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 15 11 3 1 +21 36
2 Odd 14 9 3 2 +9 30
3 Stromsgodset 15 9 2 4 +10 29
4 Brann 15 8 2 5 +3 26
5 Viking 15 8 2 5 +2 26
6 Haugesund 15 7 4 4 +6 25
7 Molde 14 7 3 4 +4 24
8 Sarpsborg 08 15 6 4 5 -3 22
9 Sogndal 14 4 6 4 +0 18
10 Lillestrom 14 4 5 5 +1 17
11 Tromso 15 4 5 6 -7 17
12 Bodo/Glimt 15 4 3 8 -3 15
13 Aalesund 14 3 3 8 -5 12
14 Valerenga 15 3 2 10 -9 11
15 Stabaek 14 3 1 10 -8 10
16 Start 15 0 6 9 -21 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Molde
1–0 H. Patronen ⚽
G. Koomson
3′
21′
⚽ J. Toivio 1–1
2–1 L. Kjemhus ⚽
M. Ramsland
24′
3–1 O. Sveen ⚽
M. Ramsland
30′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 T. Amang
↦ P. Diouf
46′
🔁 S. Svendsen
↦ E. Hestad
4–1 L. Kjemhus ⚽
O. Sveen
50′
Taijo Teniste 🟨
67′
74′
🔁 T. Svendsen
↦ P. Strand
K. Opseth 🔁
↦ O. Sveen
76′
M. Otoo 🔁
↦ M. Ramsland
78′
Kristian Opseth 🟨
84′
88′
⚽ H. Singh 4–2
T. Amang
B. Utvik 🔁
↦ G. Koomson
89′
90′
⚽ H. Singh 4–3
T. Svendsen
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Sogndal

1 M. Dyngeland G
4 H. Patronen D
15 J. Raitala D
2 T. Teniste D
17 C. Psyché D
16 B. Sarr D
27 E. Birkelund M
19 O. Sveen M
22 L. Kjemhus M
10 G. Koomson F
11 M. Ramsland F
Bench (7)
20 K. Opseth
18 M. Otoo
3 B. Utvik
34 S. Brekkhus
21 K. Rutlin
25 R. Holsæter
26 M. Pedersen

Molde

26 A. Linde G
23 K. Rindarøy D
25 V. Forren D
5 J. Toivio D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
14 P. Strand M
7 H. Singh M
30 P. Diouf F
19 E. Hestad M
17 F. Aursnes M
9 M. Mostrøm F
Bench (7)
20 T. Amang
11 S. Svendsen
52 T. Svendsen
21 Agnaldo Moraes
28 S. Gregersen
53 M. Roseth
1 E. Horvath

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.