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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Rosenborg
U S S S U
3–1
Full-time
Molde
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 67%
75%
58%
Points per game
2,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
42%
58%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
2,3
3,4
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 1
1 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 1. · Molde 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 12 9 2 1 +16 29
2 Molde 12 7 3 2 +7 24
3 Odd 12 7 3 2 +7 24
4 Stromsgodset 12 7 2 3 +8 23
5 Haugesund 12 6 3 3 +6 21
6 Viking 12 6 2 4 +0 20
7 Brann 12 6 2 4 +0 20
8 Sarpsborg 08 13 5 4 4 -1 19
9 Lillestrom 12 4 4 4 +3 16
10 Sogndal 12 3 5 4 -1 14
11 Tromso 13 3 4 6 -9 13
12 Aalesund 12 3 2 7 -3 11
13 Bodo/Glimt 12 3 2 7 -4 11
14 Valerenga 12 3 1 8 -5 10
15 Stabaek 12 2 1 9 -12 7
16 Start 12 0 6 6 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Molde
1–0 P. Helland
F. Midtsjø
1′
18′
M. Elyounoussi 1–1
R. Gabrielsen
2–1 C. Gytkjær
G. Thórarinsson
28′
31′
🟨 Vegard Forren
Half-time 3–1
3–1 C. Gytkjær
A. Gersbach
46′
55′
🟨 Fredrik Aursnes
56′
🔁 E. Guðjohnsen
↦ F. Aursnes
M. Vilhjálmsson 🔁
↦ F. Midtsjø
59′
68′
🔁 Agnaldo Moraes
↦ M. Mostrøm
J. Bjørdal 🔁
↦ P. Helland
74′
79′
🔁 T. Amang
↦ J. Toivio
80′
🟨 Ruben Gabrielsen
M. Stamnestrø 🔁
↦ A. Konradsen
88′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Rosenborg

1 André Hansen G
5 H. Eyjólfsson D
16 J. Skjelvik D
2 J. Svensson D
20 A. Gersbach D
7 M. Jensen M
8 A. Konradsen M
28 G. Thórarinsson M
21 F. Midtsjø M
23 P. Helland F
9 C. Gytkjær F
Bench (6)
10 M. Vilhjálmsson
14 J. Bjørdal
18 M. Stamnestrø
15 E. Rashani
24 Riku Riski
30 P. Londak

Molde

1 E. Horvath G
25 V. Forren D
15 P. Flo D
5 J. Toivio D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
14 P. Strand M
7 H. Singh M
24 M. Elyounoussi M
17 F. Aursnes M
9 M. Mostrøm F
8 F. Gulbrandsen F
Bench (7)
22 E. Guðjohnsen
21 Agnaldo Moraes
20 T. Amang
11 S. Svendsen
19 E. Hestad
23 K. Rindarøy
26 A. Linde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.