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Champions League
Referee: F Letexier
Dynamo Kyiv
U S
1–0
Full-time
Sturm Graz
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dynamo Kyiv Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
1,5
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%
14 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 4
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dynamo Kyiv Sturm Graz
16′
🟨 Gregory Wüthrich
Denys Popov 🟨
20′
1–0 O. Karavaev ⚽
A. Besedin
28′
41′
🟨 Jon Gorenc Stanković
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Stefan Hierländer
Volodymyr Shepeliev 🟨
48′
67′
🔁 I. Ljubic
↦ S. Hierländer
68′
🔁 D. Schnegg
↦ A. Danté
K. Vivcharenko 🔁
↦ V. Dubinchak
71′
D. Garmash 🔁
↦ V. Shepelev
71′
78′
🔁 V. Demaku
↦ A. Prass
V. Vanat 🔁
↦ A. Besedin
83′
89′
🔁 C. Lang
↦ R. Højlund
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Dynamo Kyiv

4-3-3
1 H. Bushchan G
94 T. Kędziora D
25 I. Zabarnyi D
4 D. Popov M
44 V. Dubinchak D
10 M. Shaparenko M
5 S. Sydorchuk D
8 V. Shepelev M
20 O. Karavaev F
41 A. Besedin F
29 V. Buyalskyi F
Bench (11)
2 K. Vivcharenko
19 D. Garmash
11 V. Vanat
71 D. Boyko
34 O. Syrota
3 A. Bol
14 O. Yatsyk
35 R. Neshcheret
24 O. Tymchyk
18 O. Andrievskyi
21 M. Kravchenko

Coach: M. Lucescu

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich M
44 A. Danté D
25 S. Hierländer M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič D
8 A. Prass M
19 T. Horvat M
11 M. Sarkaria F
9 R. Højlund F
Bench (12)
30 I. Ljubic
28 D. Schnegg
17 V. Demaku
26 C. Lang
24 S. Ingolitsch
32 T. Schützenauer
37 M. Wels
23 L. Kronberger
6 A. Borković
29 M. Fuseini
41 C. Giuliani
18 D. Oroz

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.