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Bundesliga
Referee: M Hameter
Austria Vienna
T T U U S
4–2
Full-time
Sturm Graz
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 42%
32%
52%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
39%
74%
Both score Ø 67%
65%
68%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,9
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Austria Vienna 4. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 31 25 4 2 +58 79
2 Sturm Graz 31 16 8 7 +18 56
3 Wolfsberger AC 31 13 5 13 -6 44
4 Austria Vienna 31 10 13 8 +3 43
5 SK Rapid 31 10 11 10 +4 41
6 Tirol 32 10 10 12 -12 40
7 LASK 32 9 12 11 +2 39
8 Ried 32 8 13 11 -14 37
9 A. Klagenfurt 31 8 11 12 -14 35
10 Hartberg 32 7 12 13 -4 33
11 Admira 32 6 13 13 -10 31
12 Altach 32 7 8 17 -25 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Apr -22 Sturm Graz – Austria Vienna 1–0 28. Nov -21 Austria Vienna – Sturm Graz 2–1 22. Aug -21 Sturm Graz – Austria Vienna 2–2 14. Mar -21 Sturm Graz – Austria Vienna 2–1 5. Dec -20 Austria Vienna – Sturm Graz 0–4

Match report

Austria Vienna Sturm Graz
1–0 E. Martel ⚽
M. Suttner
21′
27′
⚽ J. Jantscher 1–1
2–1 M. Fischer ⚽
M. Braunöder
29′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 L. Jäger
↦ I. Ljubic
49′
🟨 Otar Kiteishvili
60′
🔁 A. Kuen
↦ A. Dante
D. Fitz 🔁
↦ A. Grünwald
65′
M. Djuricin 🔁
↦ N. Ohio
68′
Manfred Fischer 🟨
69′
3–1 D. Fitz ⚽
M. Djuricin
72′
77′
🟨 Gregory Wüthrich
78′
🔁 M. Wels
↦ O. Kiteishvili
78′
🔁 S. Ingolitsch
↦ J. Gazibegović
78′
🔁 L. Kronberger
↦ A. Prass
J. Handl 🔁
↦ M. Suttner
84′
C. Keles 🔁
↦ A. Jukic
84′
4–1 C. Keles ⚽
D. Fitz
85′
89′
⚽ M. Sarkaria 4–2
L. Kronberger
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Austria Vienna

4-2-3-1
1 P. Pentz G
29 M. Suttner D
33 Lucas Galvão D
66 M. Martins D
20 L. Mühl D
10 A. Grünwald M
30 M. Fischer M
77 A. Jukic M
5 E. Martel M
23 M. Braunöder M
18 N. Ohio F
Bench (7)
36 D. Fitz
92 M. Djuricin
46 J. Handl
16 C. Keles
27 R. Vucic
99 M. Kos
24 C. Schoissengeyr

Coach: M. Schmid

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
5 G. Wüthrich D
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
44 A. Dante D
30 I. Ljubic M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
8 A. Prass M
13 J. Jantscher F
11 M. Sarkaria M
9 R. Højlund F
Bench (7)
17 L. Jäger
19 A. Kuen
37 M. Wels
24 S. Ingolitsch
23 L. Kronberger
32 T. Schützenauer
6 A. Borković

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Hameter · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.