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Bundesliga

Referee: J Weinberger

Sturm Graz

S S T T U

2–1

Full-time

Salzburg

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Salzburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,0

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

10 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 7

2 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 8. · Salzburg 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	LASK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Hartberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	A. Lustenau	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Ried	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Wolfsberger AC	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Altach	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Tirol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	A. Klagenfurt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	1	1	0	+3	3
2	LASK	1	1	0	+2	3
3	Hartberg	1	1	0	+1	3
4	A. Lustenau	1	1	0	+1	3
5	Ried	1	1	0	+1	3
6	SK Rapid	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Altach	1	0	1	+0	1
8	Wolfsberger AC	1	0	1	+0	1

#	Team	K	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsberger AC	1	1	0	+0	1
2	Sturm Graz	1	1	0	+0	1
3	Altach	1	0	1	-1	0
4	Tirol	1	0	1	-1	0
5	A. Lustenau	1	0	1	-1	0
6	Ried	1	0	1	-1	0
7	A. Klagenfurt	1	0	1	-2	0
8	Austria Vienna	1	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.