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Champions League
Referee: S Jovanović
Midtjylland
T U S T U
1–3
Full-time
Benfica
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
100%
17%
Average goals
4,2
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
2,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
This season — Champions League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
4,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%
10 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Aug -22 Benfica – Midtjylland 4–1

Match report

Midtjylland Benfica
23′
⚽ E. Fernández 0–1
Gonçalo Ramos
28′
🟨 Gonçalo Ramos
40′
🟨 Rafa Silva
Half-time 0–1
O. Sørensen 🔁
↦ Evander
46′
46′
🔁 Henrique Araújo
↦ Rafa
46′
🔁 R. Yaremchuk
↦ Gonçalo Ramos
56′
⚽ Henrique Araújo 0–2
João Mário
1–2 P. Sisto ⚽
63′
Raphael Onyedika 🟨
69′
Júnior Brumado 🔁
↦ S. Kaba
70′
G. Isaksen 🔁
↦ A. Dreyer
70′
76′
🔁 A. Bah
↦ Gilberto
E. Chilufya 🔁
↦ P. Sisto
77′
79′
🔁 Diogo Gonçalves
↦ Chiquinho
N. Dyhr 🔁
↦ Paulinho
87′
88′
⚽ Diogo Gonçalves 1–3
R. Yaremchuk
89′
🔁 Diego Moreira
↦ João Mário
Edward Chilufya ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
94′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Midtjylland

16 E. Ólafsson
14 H. Dalsgaard
6 J. Andersson
17 M. Thychosen
29 Paulinho
73 Juninho
10 Evander
15 R. Onyedika
7 P. Sisto
36 A. Dreyer
9 S. Kaba
Bench (12)
24 O. Sørensen
74 Júnior Brumado
11 G. Isaksen
18 E. Chilufya
44 N. Dyhr
53 V. Lind
31 D. Ousted
4 S. Gartenmann
26 P. Ortíz
28 E. Sviatchenko
30 M. Ugboh
35 Charles

Coach: H. Jensen

Benfica

99 O. Vlachodimos
30 N. Otamendi
2 Gilberto
3 Álex Grimaldo
91 Morato
20 João Mário
27 Rafa
22 Chiquinho
61 Florentino
13 E. Fernández
88 Gonçalo Ramos
Bench (12)
39 Henrique Araújo
9 R. Yaremchuk
6 A. Bah
17 Diogo Gonçalves
96 Diego Moreira
77 Helton Leite
34 André Almeida
5 J. Vertonghen
55 Paulo Bernardo
28 J. Weigl
66 António Silva
33 P. Musa

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Jovanović · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.