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Champions League
Referee: B Bastien
Dinamo Zagreb
U S S
4–2
Full-time
Ludogorets
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dinamo Zagreb Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 64%
67%
60%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
60%
Both score Ø 54%
67%
40%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — Champions League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 64%
67%
60%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
60%
Both score Ø 54%
67%
40%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 3

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Aug -22 Ludogorets – Dinamo Zagreb 1–2

Match report

Dinamo Zagreb Ludogorets
10′
🟨 Dominik Yankov
1–0 J. Drmić ⚽
S. Ristovski
13′
17′
🟨 Dominik Yankov
17′
🟥 Dominik Yankov
18′
🟨 Igor Plastun
Josip Mišić 🟨
21′
Stefan Ristovski 🟨
21′
2–0 M. Oršić ⚽
27′
3–0 M. Oršić ⚽
R. Ljubičić
44′
Half-time 3–0
L. Ivanušec 🔁
↦ M. Baturina
46′
A. Gojak 🔁
↦ J. Mišić
46′
S. Moharrami 🔁
↦ S. Ristovski
46′
46′
🔁 Ž. Karničnik
↦ Cicinho
46′
🔁 S. Delev
↦ I. Plastun
46′
🔁 I. Yordanov
↦ Show
47′
🟨 Rick
49′
⚽ K. Despodov 3–1
49′
⚽ K. Despodov 3–2
Dino Perić 🟨
66′
66′
🔁 M. Tissera
↦ Thiago
Sadegh Moharrami 🟨
70′
B. Petković 🔁
↦ J. Drmić
71′
72′
🟨 Rick
72′
🟥 Rick
85′
🔁 Jorginho
↦ K. Despodov
86′
🟥 Žan Karničnik
4–2 B. Petković ⚽
87′
L. Menalo 🔁
↦ D. Špikić
91′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Dinamo Zagreb

4-2-3-1
40 D. Livaković G
13 S. Ristovski D
4 B. Šutalo D
55 D. Perić D
14 R. Ljubičić M
5 A. Ademi M
27 J. Mišić M
77 D. Špikić M
10 M. Baturina M
99 M. Oršić M
18 J. Drmić F
Bench (12)
7 L. Ivanušec
8 A. Gojak
2 S. Moharrami
9 B. Petković
70 L. Menalo
66 E. Dilaver
24 M. Tolić
6 R. Lauritsen
11 M. Emreli
1 D. Zagorac
20 A. Marin
12 P. Bočkaj

Coach: A. Čačić

Ludogorets

4-3-3
12 S. Sluga G
4 Cicinho D
24 O. Verdon D
32 I. Plastun D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
64 D. Yankov M
6 J. Piotrowski M
23 Show M
73 Rick M
9 Thiago F
11 K. Despodov M
Bench (11)
21 Ž. Karničnik
90 S. Delev
82 I. Yordanov
10 M. Tissera
17 Jorginho
1 S. Padt
14 D. Gruper
79 T. Dimitrov
67 D. Hristov
75 P. Georgiev
5 G. Terziev

Coach: A. Šimundža

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.