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Champions League
Referee: I Kružliak
Sturm Graz
T U S T U
1–2
Full-time
Dynamo Kyiv
U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Dynamo Kyiv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
This season — Champions League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,0
1,3
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
17 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
26 Free kicks against 12
7 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Aug -22 Dynamo Kyiv – Sturm Graz 1–0

Match report

Sturm Graz Dynamo Kyiv
Jon Gorenc Stanković 🟨
11′
1–0 R. Højlund ⚽
A. Prass
27′
Half-time 1–0
71′
🔁 O. Karavaev
↦ T. Kędziora
71′
🔁 K. Vivcharenko
↦ V. Dubinchak
I. Ljubic 🔁
↦ R. Højlund
75′
76′
🔁 V. Vanat
↦ A. Besedin
82′
🔁 D. Garmash
↦ V. Shepelev
C. Lang 🔁
↦ T. Horvat
84′
93′
🟨 Denys Garmash
Jusuf Gazibegović 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Sergiy Sydorchuk
Manprit Sarkaria 🟨
95′
97′
⚽ K. Vivcharenko 1–1
V. Tsygankov
99′
🔁 O. Andrievskyi
↦ D. Garmash
100′
🟨 Oleksandr Karavaev
M. Fuseini 🔁
↦ J. Gorenc Stankovič
102′
D. Schnegg 🔁
↦ A. Danté
102′
V. Demaku 🔁
↦ S. Hierländer
103′
Manprit Sarkaria 🟨
105′
Manprit Sarkaria 🟥
105′
Gregory Wüthrich 🟨
107′
107′
🟨 Vladyslav Vanat
Alexander Prass 🟨
111′
M. Wels 🔁
↦ A. Prass
112′
112′
⚽ V. Tsygankov 1–2
V. Buyalskyi
115′
🟨 Georgiy Bushchan
116′
🟨 Viktor Tsygankov
Vesel Demaku 🟨
121′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich M
44 A. Danté D
25 S. Hierländer M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič D
8 A. Prass M
19 T. Horvat M
11 M. Sarkaria F
9 R. Højlund F
Bench (12)
30 I. Ljubic
26 C. Lang
29 M. Fuseini
28 D. Schnegg
17 V. Demaku
37 M. Wels
18 D. Oroz
32 T. Schützenauer
23 L. Kronberger
41 C. Giuliani
16 S. Schendl
14 P. Komposch

Coach: C. Ilzer

Dynamo Kyiv

4-3-1-2
1 H. Bushchan G
94 T. Kędziora D
25 I. Zabarnyi D
34 O. Syrota M
44 V. Dubinchak D
10 M. Shaparenko M
5 S. Sydorchuk D
8 V. Shepelev M
29 V. Buyalskyi M
15 V. Tsygankov F
41 A. Besedin F
Bench (12)
20 O. Karavaev
2 K. Vivcharenko
11 V. Vanat
19 D. Garmash
18 O. Andrievskyi
71 D. Boyko
3 A. Bol
21 M. Kravchenko
14 O. Yatsyk
24 O. Tymchyk
35 R. Neshcheret
6 M. Burda

Coach: M. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kružliak · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.