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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Lillestrom
T U T T T
2–0
Full-time
Stromsgodset
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,3
This season — Eliteserien · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 44%
25%
63%
Points per game
1,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
69%
56%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,9
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 12. · Stromsgodset 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 17 12 4 1 +27 40
2 Odd 17 10 4 3 +11 34
3 Stromsgodset 16 10 2 4 +11 32
4 Brann 17 9 3 5 +9 30
5 Haugesund 17 8 4 5 +3 28
6 Sarpsborg 08 17 8 4 5 +1 28
7 Viking 17 8 3 6 -1 27
8 Molde 17 7 4 6 +2 25
9 Sogndal 17 5 8 4 +1 23
10 Bodo/Glimt 17 5 4 8 -2 19
11 Tromso 17 4 6 7 -8 18
12 Lillestrom 16 4 5 7 -3 17
13 Valerenga 17 4 3 10 -7 15
14 Stabaek 17 4 3 10 -7 15
15 Aalesund 17 3 4 10 -14 13
16 Start 17 0 7 10 -23 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Stromsgodset
1–0 M. Lundemo
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Høiland
↦ Ø. Storflor
46′
🔁 B. Adjei-Boateng
↦ M. Rønning
2–0 S. Mikalsen
48′
Jorgen Kolstad 🟨
57′
78′
🔁 T. Sørum
↦ M. Hamoud
S. Sinyan 🔁
↦ O. Rindarøy
84′
M. Martin 🔁
↦ Bassel Jradi
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-1-1
77 A. Origi G
16 H. Skogseid D
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
5 O. Rindarøy M
3 S. Mikalsen D
10 M. Lundemo M
7 Bassel Jradi M
17 J. Kolstad
18 B. Innocent M
11 E. Knudtzon F
Bench (6)
26 S. Sinyan
8 M. Martin
15 E. Brenden
20 M. Ofkir
21 P. Olsen
29 E. Ødegaard

Coach: R. Kristinsson

Stromsgodset

4-3-3
1 E. Pettersen G
4 K. Madsen D
2 M. Hamoud M
71 G. Valsvik D
26 L. Vilsvik D
8 P. Moen
9 Ø. Storflor F
11 M. Rønning M
19 Francisco Junior M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
15 F. Kastrati F
Bench (7)
7 T. Høiland
22 B. Adjei-Boateng
23 T. Sørum
3 J. Parr
17 C. Lindquist
28 M. Høibråten
30 Ł. Jarosiński

Coach: B. Ingebretsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.