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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Odd
S S T S U
2–1
Full-time
Stromsgodset
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Odd Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
4,2
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 58%
58%
58%
Points per game
2,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
42%
58%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,9
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,9
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
9 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Odd 2. · Stromsgodset 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 13 10 2 1 +18 32
2 Odd 12 7 3 2 +7 24
3 Molde 13 7 3 3 +5 24
4 Stromsgodset 12 7 2 3 +8 23
5 Haugesund 12 6 3 3 +6 21
6 Viking 12 6 2 4 +0 20
7 Brann 12 6 2 4 +0 20
8 Sarpsborg 08 13 5 4 4 -1 19
9 Lillestrom 12 4 4 4 +3 16
10 Sogndal 12 3 5 4 -1 14
11 Tromso 13 3 4 6 -9 13
12 Aalesund 12 3 2 7 -3 11
13 Bodo/Glimt 12 3 2 7 -4 11
14 Valerenga 12 3 1 8 -5 10
15 Stabaek 12 2 1 9 -12 7
16 Start 12 0 6 6 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Odd Stromsgodset
1–0 F. Nordkvelle
3′
Fredrik Jensen 🟨
22′
35′
T. Nguen 1–1
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Ø. Storflor
↦ M. Keita
66′
🟨 Mohammed Abu
2–1 C. Akabueze
H. Johansen
73′
80′
🔁 P. Moen
↦ M. Abu
J. Nilsen 🔁
↦ F. Jensen
82′
83′
🟥 Francisco Junior
84′
🔁 T. Høiland
↦ T. Nguen
V. Bergan 🔁
↦ H. Johansen
86′
87′
🟨 Tommy Høiland
87′
🟨 Marcus Pedersen
Rafik Zekhnini 🟨
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Odd

1 S. Rossbach G
2 E. Ruud D
21 S. Hagen D
16 F. Semb Berge D
5 T. Grøgaard D
14 F. Nordkvelle M
20 F. Jensen M
6 O. Berg M
26 C. Akabueze
9 H. Johansen F
11 R. Zekhnini F
Bench (7)
18 J. Nilsen
4 V. Bergan
12 V. Myhra
3 A. Gashi
19 Z. Messoudi
7 O. Halvorsen
23 L. Eriksen

Stromsgodset

1 E. Pettersen G
3 J. Parr D
71 G. Valsvik D
26 L. Vilsvik D
28 M. Høibråten D
77 M. Keita M
20 M. Abu M
93 T. Nguen M
19 Francisco Junior M
22 B. Adjei-Boateng M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
Bench (7)
9 Ø. Storflor
8 P. Moen
7 T. Høiland
46 S. Johansen
15 F. Kastrati
30 Ł. Jarosiński
17 C. Lindquist

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.